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Punt to Win |
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10/5/2002 edition Media Hype Horses There were plenty of hype horses last Saturday. Our Kazz with Damien Oliver to ride was a "certainty" to win a 3YO listed race over 2000 metres at Victoria Park on the way to their Derby. Punters thought the paltry $1.80 was too generous and so backed the gelding into $1.60. There's a good analogy here with the stockmarket. The smart money buys the shares before the good news and sells on its announcement as the public clamour to buy. The smart money was actually on Our Kazz, a visitor from New Zealand, when with Damien Oliver riding, he won the Port Adelaide Guineas two weeks earlier starting at $11.00. That money was not interested at $1.80 or $1.60. As we regularly point out on this site, one way to win at racing is by backing horses before everyone else is told how good the horses are. You just have to be a step ahead. What about the hype for the Gai Waterhouse trained Arlington Road? The gelding only had to turn up to win the Queensland Guineas at Eagle Farm after convincingly winning a Group race by over three lengths at his previous start at Randwick three weeks earlier. As a result Arlington Road was sent out at the short odds of $3.00 in the field of 19. There's no way punters will stay ahead of the game backing media hype horses at those odds in big fields. Being trained by Gai Waterhouse just helped shorten the odds even more - she always makes herself available to the horse racing media and has no qualms about telling them how wonderful her horses are doing and how spot on they are for their races. This edition of Punt to Win: Back Tote Longshots?
You Need Top Odds It
is just about impossible to get a high enough
strike rate backing short priced tote favourites
and the poor value tote horses to make up for
the big unders on the tote. Remember
short priced tote favourites Specials |
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| Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk. | |||
