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10/8/2013 edition

Wagering on Horse Racing with Betting Tips
and
Information That Everyone "Knows"

When everyone confidently "knows" something is a certainty in horse racing you can expect it not to happen, or you are guaranteed to get under the odds about that horse winning, with the one exception being Black Caviar. But that champion horse was a freak!

1. Let's recall the 2006 Cox Plate that everyone knew was a match race between El Segundo and Racing To Win. Sure enough, neither won. El Segundo finished second while Racing To Win finished down the track.

The race was won by the 2003 winner, Fields Of Omagh that paid the excellent odds of $22.00. Fields Of Omagh had also finished second in the 2004 Cox Plate and third in 2005. But everyone "knew" that a 9YO has never won the Cox Plate so the 9YO gelding Fields Of Omagh was completely ignored in the betting and dismissed by the racing commentators.

The fact that Fields Of Omagh had got better with every one of its three runs in from a spell, finishing only 1.5 lengths away in Group 1 company at its start before the Cox Plate, was also ignored!

2. Everyone knew that the Japanese trained 6YO entire Delta Blues could not win the 2006 Melbourne Cup. Its outstanding third in the Caulfield Cup, a key form lead up race was completely dismissed. Why? Because everyone knew that its Australian jockey in the Caulfield Cup, Nash Rawiller, had been replaced by a Japanese hoop, Yasunari Iwata.

The amount of bagging this jockey got by uninformed commentators in the racing media, which of course influenced the punters, had to be heard to be believed! Yasunari Iwata rode a brilliant race in the Melbourne Cup and of course Delta Blues won and paid over $20.00.

3. John Hawkes and the Melbourne Trainers' Premiership

Everyone "knew" that John Hawkes, eager to win the Melbourne trainers' premiership, was bringing down horses from Sydney in July 2002 to complement his Melbourne team of horses so he could win the Melbourne Trainers' Premiership.

Have a look at the table below. It shows how the John Hawkes' trained horses performed in July on Saturdays in Melbourne - the horses that everyone "knew" were primed for big runs so John Hawkes would win the trainers' premiership.

Flemington 5/7/2002
Horse
Dollar Starting Price Odds
Finish
Domine
6.00
6/15
Gramercy
3.50
7/13
Victorix
10.00
4/13
Naareda
10.00
3/13
Lilindeeana
10.00
7/14
Moonee Valley 12/7/2002
Horse
Dollar Starting Price Odds
Finish
Tito
3.00
4/13
Hollow
13.00
8/13
Gradual
3.20
7/12
Kepero
7.00
4/13
Tweak
9.00
7/13
Old Man
8.00
4/12
Caulfield 19/7/2002
Horse
Dollar Starting Price Odds
Finish
Lambeth
8.00
6/11
Volley
17.00
10/11
Palais
3.50
4/7
Gramercy
11.00
4/15
Malo
8.00
8/15
Sports
13.00
9/11
Philotimo
6.50
6/9
Boreale
2.35
2/13
Orthopaedic
12.00
12/15
Moonee Valley 26/7/2002
Horse
Dollar Starting Price Odds
Finish
Snick
4.00
3/7
Gironde
21.00
5/13
Boreale
3.50
9/13
Old Man
4.60
5/8
Victorix
5.00
10/15

What an absolute disaster. 25 runners - not one winner!! Many were favourites. Nearly all these horses were kept very safe in the betting.

Because punters "knew" the horses were set to win, as John Hawkes wanted to win the trainers' premiership, you can bet that these horses were under the odds on the tote and with the bookies.

Yes folks, that's the way horse racing betting operates.

As we repeatedly stress on this web site, what everyone "knows" in horse racing is guaranteed to provide you ways of losing your betting money long term. Nothing else. It can be no different, because horse racing is a negative sums game which always returns less money to the punters than is outlaid in bets.

Our legendary tipster, Lucky Lil continues to give you FREE horse racing tips that WIN BIG!

Like two tips for a
$9.50 winner on Saturday, 1st. June!

Like one tip for a
$10.40 winner on Saturday, 18th. May!

Who can forget Lucky Lil's winning tips on some of the biggest Melbourne Spring Carnival racing days of 2012?

Like:

On Caulfield Cup Day Lucky Lil tipped $15.00 Caulfield Cup Winner Dunaden and Snitsky $6.50 at Randwick!

On Cox Plate Day from 3 tips
Lucky Lil tipped $10.00 Winner Mosse Diva at Rosehill.


Lucky Lil's FREE Tips PLUS FREE Top Four Ratings are available for you:


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Then you can access the
Free Saturday Top Four ratings plus Lucky Lil's tips

in the Free Top Four Horse Racing Ratings & Betting Tips Forum.
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This edition of Punt to Win:
Wagering on horse racing with information and betting tips that everyone knows
The Free Second Up from a Spell horse racing betting system
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Free horse racing betting tips package membership!
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields: 3/8/2013

Betting favourites in small fields: 27/7/2013 & 20/7/2013
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 20/7/2013
Punt to Win Index - 2000 to Present


2012 Melbourne Cup Day
Bookmaker Win Dividends

Horse

Get these dividends? Or these bookmaker dividends! Extra Profit $30 bet
Koonoomoo 22.70 31.00 $249
Kasane 26.00 28.70 $81
Green Moon 20.00 22.50 $75
Mahisara 10.20 12.40 $66
Walk With Attitude 6.50 8.50 $60
Verdant 6.60 7.50 $27
Eclair Surprise 9.50 10.30 $24
Villa Verde 3.00 3.80 $24
Genteel 3.70 4.00 $9
Unpretentious 3.90 4.20 $9


 

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