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12/10/2013 edition

Trifecta Horse Racing Betting Tips


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How to make trifecta money betting "odds on favourites" and "good things"

Let's have a look at an example from our Punt to Win racing archives which shows how you can make good money betting trifectas on horse racing taking an odds on favourite as your stand out to win.

In the example we are looking at, Victory Vein won and paid $1.40 for the win on the tote. Yet the winning trifecta dividends for a dollar paid as much as $257 on the tote. Absolutely amazing!

Now that sure beats making 40 cents profit from a one dollar win bet.

How is it possible to make that sort of money from "good things" winning?

A look at the tote prices might give a clue. Here are the final approximates for the race from SuperTab:

Horse Number and Name Tote Win Odds Tote Place Odds
1 Victory Vein $ 1.40 $ 1.20
2 Sunday Joy $ 7.80 $ 1.60
3 Salameh $47.80 $ 7.50
4 Highest $27.40 $ 3.40
5 Royal Purler $24.90 $ 4.40
6 Chatelaine $ 7.70 $ 1.70
7 Soprana $25.70 $ 4.50
8 Ms Bowie $49.00 $ 6.00
9 Stratica $66.20 $ 8.50
10 Lavishly $18.70 $ 3.10
11 Royal Siren $ 239 $41.40

The winning trifecta was 1 - 5 - 10.

Number 2 Sunday Joy and Number 6 Chatelaine were both strongly favoured to place. Most punters would have put both these horses in their trifecta combinations. And they both missed a place!

The key then is to bet differently from most punters. If you want to take a "good thing" as a standout to win, then you must save money and eliminate combinations taken by most punters for second and third.

However, this should only be done based on form. If you gave no other horses than Sunday Joy and Chatelaine much chance of placing, then it follows you should leave the race alone.

Taking the popular way - Number 1 Victory Vein to win with the field for second and third and using dollar units, the outlay would have been $90 for a nice profit. This time.

However, this trifecta wagering method is absolutely guaranteed to lose long term because you are including many poor value combinations plus combinations with virtually no chance of coming in.

The way to treat a race with a "good thing" as a standout bet for a trifecta and to give yourself a decent chance of making money long term is by finding horses to run second and third that you believe are realistic place chances and most importantly most other punters will have dismissed.

There's absolutely no point "saving" by including the second and third tote favourites in all your trifecta combinations because you will lose badly on the race if they come in plus you will lose long term because of all these additional "poor value" betting combinations you take, along with just about every other trifecta bettor.

Our legendary tipster, Lucky Lil continues to give you FREE horse racing tips that WIN BIG!

Like three tips for a
$31.00 winner on Saturday, 24th. August!

Like three tips for an
$8.20 winner on Saturday, 17th. August!

Who can forget Lucky Lil's winning tips on some of the biggest Melbourne Spring Carnival racing days of 2012?

Like:

On Caulfield Cup Day Lucky Lil tipped $15.00 Caulfield Cup Winner Dunaden and Snitsky $6.50 at Randwick!

On Cox Plate Day from 3 tips
Lucky Lil tipped $10.00 Winner Mosse Diva at Rosehill.


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This edition of Punt to Win:
How to make trifecta money betting odds on favourites and good things
The Free Track, Distance and First Up horse racing betting system
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Group 1 horse racing results: 5/10/2013
Group 1 horse racing results: 29/9/2013 & 27/9/2013
Group 1 horse racing results: 21/9/2013
Free horse racing betting tips package membership!
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields: 5/10/2013

Betting favourites in small fields: 28/9/2013
Betting favourites in small fields: 21/9/2013
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 21/9/2013
Punt to Win Index - 2000 to Present


2012 Melbourne Cup Day
Bookmaker Win Dividends

Horse

Get these dividends? Or these bookmaker dividends! Extra Profit $30 bet
Koonoomoo 22.70 31.00 $249
Kasane 26.00 28.70 $81
Green Moon 20.00 22.50 $75
Mahisara 10.20 12.40 $66
Walk With Attitude 6.50 8.50 $60
Verdant 6.60 7.50 $27
Eclair Surprise 9.50 10.30 $24
Villa Verde 3.00 3.80 $24
Genteel 3.70 4.00 $9
Unpretentious 3.90 4.20 $9


 

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