Horse Racing Weight Handicapping and Betting Odds

We're all used to hearing "The horse has the class," to justify why a horse handicapped with a high weight should win. Similarly we're told "It's a 54 minimum. So the horse is only six kilos above the minimum."

Those sort of comments do not show an understanding of how handicaps affect most horses. The more weight, the less class a horse will have. Give a horse enough weight and it will have no class.

In a handicap, by the time horses are handicapped with 60kg. (61kg. with the safety vest), many become very dubious betting propositions at short odds. Similarly with jumpers - 70kg. (71 with the safety vest) is a very tough proposition.

This table below shows recent results for horses that carried 60kg. or more in a handicap and were supported in the bookmakers' betting ring market - with a bookmaker starting price of $10.00 or shorter. (The safety vest is not included in the weight.) We have eliminated any races where more than three horses carried at least 60kg. with a starting price of $10.00 or shorter. We're updating each week. It's certainly worth looking at this information over the long term.

Flemington - 5/10/2013
Horse	Weight	Barrier	Distance	SP Odds	Finish
Launay	60kg.	2	1410	$10.00	9/11
Sea Moon	60kg.	14	2520	$4.40fav.	2/13
Rosehill - 28/9/2013
Horse	Weight	Barrier	Distance	SP Odds	Finish
Ecuador	60kg.	2	1900	$1.40fav.	2/10
Morphettville - 28/9/2013
Horse	Weight	Barrier	Distance	SP Odds	Finish
Mossego	60.5kg.	10	1550	$9.00	4/12
Spirit Of Endeavour	60kg.	2	1550	$4.80fav.	10/12
Morphettville - 21/9/2013
Horse	Weight	Barrier	Distance	SP Odds	Finish
Beware Of Thestorm	60kg.	4	2010	$5.50	3/13
Moonee Valley - 14/9/2013
Horse	Weight	Barrier	Distance	SP Odds	Finish
Motivado	60kg.	8	2500	$9.00	9/10
Randwick - 7/9/2013
Horse	Weight	Barrier	Distance	SP Odds	Finish
Hay List	60.5kg.	1	1000	$7.50	5/9
Shoot Out	60.5kg.	1	1400	$4.60	11/14
Sincero	60.5kg.	11	1400	$9.50	13/14
Morphettville - 31/8/2013
Horse	Weight	Barrier	Distance	SP Odds	Finish
Murtle Turtle	60kg.	4	1100	$5.00	3/7
Liveforthemoment	60kg.	1	1200	$10.00	11/11
Warwick Farm - 24/8/2013
Horse	Weight	Barrier	Distance	SP Odds	Finish
Travolta	61kg.	6	2200	$2.70fav.	2/7
Morphettville - 24/8/2013
Horse	Weight	Barrier	Distance	SP Odds	Finish
Wise And Happy	60kg.	3	1000	$10.00	1/10
Rosehill - 17/8/2013
Horse	Weight	Barrier	Distance	SP Odds	Finish
Travolta	61kg.	6	1800	$4.40	4/14
Caulfield - 17/8/2013
Horse	Weight	Barrier	Distance	SP Odds	Finish
Chasse	60kg.	2	1600	$8.00	6/7
Bello	60kg.	11	1200	$6.50	6/12
Morphettville - 17/8/2013
Horse	Weight	Barrier	Distance	SP Odds	Finish
Zaman	70kg.	8	3500 steeplechase	$2.90fav.	1/8
Randwick - 10/8/2013
Horse	Weight	Barrier	Distance	SP Odds	Finish
Whitlam	60.5kg.	1	1100	$8.00	3/6
Flemington - 10/8/2013
Horse	Weight	Barrier	Distance	SP Odds	Finish
Luckygray	60kg.	8	1200	$6.00	6/10
Eagle Farm - 10/8/2013
Horse	Weight	Barrier	Distance	SP Odds	Finish
Adebisi	60.5kg.	7	1000	$3.10fav.	3/7
Morphettville - 10/8/2013
Horse	Weight	Barrier	Distance	SP Odds	Finish
Zaman	70kg.	1	3500 hurdle	$5.00	3/7
Rosehill - 3/8/2013
Horse	Weight	Barrier	Distance	SP Odds	Finish
Travolta	60kg.	9	2000	$5.50	2/10
Moonee Valley - 3/8/2013
Horse	Weight	Barrier	Distance	SP Odds	Finish
Metastasio	60kg.	1	1000	$1.95fav.	2/5
Reuben Percival	61kg.	7	2500	$4.40	5/11
Mrphettville - 3/8/2013
Horse	Weight	Barrier	Distance	SP Odds	Finish
Border Express	60kg.	8	1950	$6.00	11/12

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