Horse racing and
sports betting.
 
 

Punt to Win

Pro-Punter
Horse racing forums
Swap tips and discuss betting systems and software

Qld, NT and Tasmanian punters, claim up to $502 deposit match!


Qld, NT and Tasmanian punters, claim up to a $250 bonus bet!


Join Betfair now!
Win at racing

 

 

14/1/2012 edition

Handicapping Tips
Weight and Class

We're all used to hearing "The horse has the class," to justify why a horse handicapped with a high weight should win. Similarly we're told "It's a 54 minimum. So the horse is only six kilos above the minimum."

Those sort of comments do not show an understanding of how handicaps affect most horses. The more weight, the less class a horse will have. Give a horse enough weight and it will have no class.

In a handicap, by the time horses have to carry 59kg. (60 with the safety vest), many become very dubious betting propositions at short odds. Similarly with jumpers - 70kg. (71 with the safety vest) is a very tough proposition.

The table below shows how horses that carried 59kg. or more in a handicap and were supported in the bookmakers' betting ring market - with a starting price of $10.00 or shorter - recently fared. (The safety vest is not included in the weight.) We're updating each week. It's certainly worth looking at this information over the long term.

Warwick Farm - 7/1/2012
Horse
Weight
Barrier
Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Tiger Tees
59kg.
4
1300
$1.65fav.
2/7
Caulfield - 7/1/2012
Horse
Weight
Barrier
Distance
SP Odds
Finish
First Command
59kg.
1
1200
$3.60fav.
3/7
Wealthy Lad
59kg.
1
1400
$10.00
1/13
Gold Coast - 7/1/2012
Horse
Weight
Barrier
Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Mr Favulous
59kg.
4
1200
$7.00
7/13
Seek And Find
59kg.
10
900
$5.50
2/12
Trusted Partner
59kg.
4
900
$5.00e.fav.
9/12
Morphettville - 7/1/2012
Horse
Weight
Barrier
Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Petman
59kg.
4
1200
$2.25fav.
1/7
Blue Maggich
60kg.
1
1600
$7.00
9/9
Moonee Valley - 31/12/2011
Horse
Weight
Barrier
Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Westsouthwest
59kg.
3
2040
$3.00fav.
2/7
Soaked
59kg.
2
2040
$5.00
5/7
Tykook
59kg.
5
1200
$7.50
5/10
Costa In The Glen
59kg.
3
1200
$7.00
6/11
Obsidian Dragon
59.5kg.
5
1000
$5.00
1/11
Canterbury - 24/12/2011
Horse
Weight
Barrier
Distance
SP Odds
Finish
We Betcha
60.5kg.
2
1200
$10.00
6/6
Sandown Hillside - 24/12/2011
Horse
Weight
Barrier
Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Oforawesome
59kg.
2
1300
$9.00
9/14
Morphettville - 24/12/2011
Horse
Weight
Barrier
Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Loukoumi
59kg.
6
2250
$3.00fav.
6/8
Warwick Farm - 17/12/2011
Horse
Weight
Barrier
Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Scouting Wide
61.5kg.
2
2200
$8.00
2/9
Catapulted
59kg.
8
1200
$3.50
5/8
Flemington - 17/12/2011
Horse
Weight
Barrier
Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Light Vision
59kg.
8
2540
$9.00
7/8
Morphettville - 17/12/2011
Horse
Weight
Barrier
Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Justify That
60kg.
2
1250
$9.00
6/12
Morphettville - 10/12/2011
Horse
Weight
Barrier
Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Instructor
59kg.
7
2019
$3.70
5/7
Caulfield - 3/12/2011
Horse
Weight
Barrier
Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Mabsam
59kg.
6
1400
$6.50
6/11
Catapulted
60kg.
4
1100
$5.00e.fav.
2/15
 

This edition of Punt to Win:
Free winning horse racing betting tips
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
The Beat the Firming Tote Favourites horse racing betting system
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Free horse racing betting tips package membership!
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields: 7/1/2012 & 31/12/2011
Betting favourites in small fields: 24/12/2011 & 17/12/2011
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Punt to Win 17/12/2011
Punt to Win index


You Need Top Odds

It's unlikely you'll get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and poor value tote horses to make up for big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.

If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.

It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short priced tote favourites.


Best online bookmakers
Best online poker rooms

Copyright 1998-present. OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved.

 

Home | Contact us | Special offers | Horse racing forum | Advertise here

 
  Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.