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Punt to Win |
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14/2/2003 edition Murphy's Blu Boy Blues Murphy's Blu Boy - $1.25 flop Many punters must have thought the $1.30 on offer about Murphy's Blu Boy at Caulfield in the Colts and Geldings Group 3 Blue Diamond Prelude last Saturday was value, because the colt firmed to start at only $1.25. It takes big money to make a horse firm from $1.30. In a field of nine lightly raced horses, it is asking for trouble taking $1.25 about any horse, no matter how much of a certainty it looks. Murphy's Blu Boy got the staggers over the last 200 and was easily overhauled by the John Hawkes' trained Hammerbeam who paid $34.20 for the win. John Hawkes has a habit of winning good races with outsiders. But we must admit, it was a bit hard to come into Hammerbeam. Twelve days earlier Murphy's Blu Boy beat Hammerbeam by nearly 12 lengths. On Saturday Hammerbeam met Murphy's Blu Boy 2.5kg. better at the weights. The race was also 1100 metres, an extra 100 metres. But that does not account for 12 lengths. The winning time was very poor. It was 1:03.73, compared to 1:03.29 for Halibery's win of the fillies' version of the race. Is Murphy's Blu Boy a three win wonder? Very unlikely. Probably something was amiss for the colt to run such poor time. But whether the colt can justify the valuation of around $2,000,000 put on him by the numerous bids and 49% purchase before Saturday is quite another matter. He could yet turn out to be an absolute champion. When we look back at his career this defeat might look like an aberration. Then again, he could turn out to be just be a handy city horse. This edition of Punt to Win: You Need Top Odds It
is just about impossible to get a high enough
strike rate backing short priced tote favourites
and the poor value tote horses to make up for
the big unders on the tote. Short
priced tote favourites Specials |
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| Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk. | |||
