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14/2/2003 edition

Betting Value Tips

Horses who are unlucky can often catch everyone by surprise and win or place at one of their next few starts at bolter's odds. That is just what you want for quinellas, trifectas and first four.

Please note:
There is no one single factor which guarantees winning selections. This information can be useful when taken into account with other form factors.

Here are some of the unlucky horses from Saturday, February 8 and Sunday February 9.

Flemington (Sunday):
La Bella Dame - no clear run in the straight
Converge - badly held up the entire straight
Alastro - badly held up in the straight
Naareda - badly held up in the straight, checked off heels 200, eased down

Caulfield (Saturday):
Mr. Selby - badly held up in the straight
Rinky Dink - wide run
Step Ahead - held up early in the straight, checked off heels at the 200
Special Grange - held up in the straight, went to the inside - inferior going
Tarcoola Diamond - very wide run

Randwick:
Chaparejos - wide run
Lord Kefalania - badly held up the entire straight
Miss Helterskelter - wide run
Tessamo - slow out, searched for a run in the straight
Verstak - well back wide, covered plenty of ground
Athelnoth - searched for a run in the straight

Eagle Farm:
Moiseev - wide run
Narwhal - well back and wide, muddling pace
Hurry Hurry - well back, held up early in the straight
Aggravation - badly held up in the straight

Morphettville:
Mot D'Or - checked off heels at the 50
Our Perfect World - searched for a run in the straight
Tag Jeur - badly held up in the straight
Taos Pleaseure - wide run
Run Like Blevic - wide run first up, 56kg.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Flemington racetrack - farcical Group 1 race
Murphy's Blu Boy blues - bet for value
Trifectas - structure bets right and make more money
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Randwick, Caulfield betting tips from the track
Money talks - Morphettville, Eagle Farm betting tips from the track
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 7/2/2003
Punt to Win index


Betting packages


Back Tote Longshots?

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
Touchy Subject 22.50 35.80 $1430
Silver Canon 30.90 39.90 $900
Sure Bet 15.50 23.90 $840
Starbucks 11.80 20.10 $830
Glefti 18.20 25.70 $750
Hammerbeam 27.30 24.20 $690
Hand Pass 21.10 27.60 $650


You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


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