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15/11/2002 edition

Randwick Plunge Horses
Money Talks?

Each week we will feature tables showing just how successful the "smart money" was. To qualify a horse must have firmed 5% in the betting market. For example if a horse was backed in from $5.00 (4/1 or 20%) to $4.00 (3/1 or 25%) it will qualify. Odds calculator gives you tables.

When the horse wins, so you can judge for yourself how sensible or silly it is over the long term to "follow the money" on the tote, we will also include the worst tote price available. Plenty of tote punters will have collected that tote dividend. Most of them would have "followed the money" on the tote.

Are they getting big enough winning dividends when they "follow the money" on the tote to cover themselves for when "following the tote money loses"?

The jockeys and trainers are also important. You may see some jockeys and trainers consistently bringing home plunges whereas others regularly fail to deliver.

Randwick, Saturday, 9th. November 2002

Horse, jockey
and trainer

Firmed from % Firm Tote Finish Beaten/winning margin
 
Shameka
1.80
1.60
6.94
-
2/12
1.3 lengths
Chris Munce
Gai Waterhouse
 
Bumptious
2.40
2.00
8.33
-
2/9
neck
Chris Munce
Gai Waterhouse
 
Miss Anna Louise 8.00 5.50 5.68 - 7/15 3.1 lengths
Chris Munce
Gai Waterhouse
 
Navy Blue 2.90 2.50 5.52 2.40 1/8 long head
Darren Beadman
John Morish
 

 

Randwick, Tuesday, 5th. November 2002

Horse, jockey
and trainer

Firmed from % Firm Tote Finish Beaten/winning margin
 
Qualie
8.00
5.50
5.61
7.10
1/10
0.7 lengths
Brad Pengelly
Oliver Koolman
 
Desert Dane
6.50
4.60
6.36
3.20
1/12
1.3 lengths
Neil Paine
Gai Waterhouse
 
Pugad Lawin 4.20 3.20 7.44 3.10 1/11 1.3 lengths
Brad Pengelly
Peter Staunton
 
Dana's Kingdom 8.50 5.00 8.24 - 10/13 4.6 lengths
Bobby El'issa
Neville McBurney
 

This edition of Punt to Win:
Betting odds - risk versus reward
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Randwick plunge horses
Money talks - Flemington plunge horses
Money talks - Doomben plunge horses
Money talks - Morphettville plunge horses
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 8/11/2002
Punt to Win index


Betting packages


Warning
Short Priced Tote Favourites

These are losing bets.

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor tote odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


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