Punt to Win
We repeatedly stress on this site that to win long term at racing you must have an angle that is different from the "public". If you bet like everyone else, take the same odds as everyone else, then you will get their results, which is a long term loss.
As an example of this it's worth having a look at what happened when everyone "knew" John Hawkes was going to win plenty of races:
"John Hawkes and the Melbourne Trainers' Premiership
Have a look at the table below. It shows how the John Hawkes' trained horses performed in July on Saturdays in Melbourne - the horses that everyone "knew" were primed for big races to help John Hawkes win the trainers' premiership.
What an absolute disaster. 25 runners - not one winner. Many were favourites. Most were kept very safe in the betting. There were eight horses that started under $5.00. Because punters "knew" the horses were set to win, as John Hawkes wanted to win the trainers' premiership, you can bet that his horses would most likely be under the odds on the tote and with the bookies. That's the way horse racing betting operates.
As we repeatedly stress on this site, what everyone "knows" in horse racing is guaranteed to provide you ways of losing betting money long term, nothing else. It can be no different, because racing is a negative sums game which consistently returns less money than is outlaid in bets."
This edition of Punt to Win:
Best Tote Odds?
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