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17/1/2003 edition

Betting Value Tips

Horses who are unlucky can often catch everyone by surprise and win or place at one of their next few starts at bolter's odds. That is just what you want for quinellas, trifectas and first four.

Please note:
There is no one single factor which guarantees winning selections. This information can be useful when taken into account with other form factors.

Here are some of the unlucky horses from Saturday, January 11.

Caulfield:
Princesa - wide throughout first up
Ocean Bridge - led, no peace
Sir Bollinger - badly held up in the straight, shuffled back
Azevedo - slow out
Lord Kingston - searched for a run in the straight
Full On Fraar - badly held up in the straight, shuffled back
Panorama Heights - badly held up in the straight
Zero Drama - held up in the straight
Marouch - worked hard, wide run
Largo - lost its position on the home turn

Rosehill:
Portfolios - badly held up in the straight
Sharp - wide run
Marchioness - worked hard early, wide run
Miss Helterskelter - badly held up in the straight

Gold Coast:
Ena's Treasure - badly held up in the straight
Storm Scene - checked out of the race at the 200
Breeze Past - wide throughout
Proudly Aggro - searched for a run in the straight, checked at the 200
Cap Juan - midfield, checked out of the race at the 200
Amex - missed the start by five lengths
Wagstaffe - no run in the straight, eased down near the line
Hasna - wide throughout, cut out at the 200
How Funny - well back, covered ground around the home turn
Danbird - checked at the 800
Dress Code - searched for a run in the straight
Banff Connection - checked at 800, lost its position, held up in the straight
Smart Chariot - wide run

Morphettville:
Oxford Dollar - searched for a run in the straight
Holy Moley - green, ran out wide in the straight
Subella - badly held up in the straight
Redjack - wide throughout
Royal Liftout - attacked in the lead
King's Haven - held up in the straight

This edition of Punt to Win:
Hasna - worst bet of the year
Should 8YOs be backed first up?
Quality horses that regain form
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Rosehill betting tips from the track
Money talks - Caulfield betting tips from the track
Money talks - Gold Coast Magic Millions betting tips from the track
Money talks - Morphettville betting tips from the track
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 10/1/2003
Punt to Win index


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Back Tote Longshots?

Horse

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Caramel Star 27.50 33.50 $600
Charmview 14.10 17.10 $300


You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


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