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20/8/2005 edition

Making Money Betting on the Horses

Wagering tips for small fields

These can be tricky betting affairs. However often punters focus on one horse and send it around at under its true winning chances. This may then create value with some of the other runners.

A typical case was the Group 2 Weight for Age Premiere Stakes run over 1200 metres at Rosehill last Saturday. The Gai Waterhouse trained Dance Hero was sent out the $2.25 favourite - shorter on the tote, in the field of six.

That can be asking for trouble when you consider the quality of Dance Hero's opposition, which included:

1. 5YO gelding Spark Of Life with nine wins from 15 starts and only beaten 1.5 lengths by Dance Hero when first up two weeks earlier.

2. The very promising and lightly race 4YO horse Snippetson was also only beaten a similar margin when first up against Dance Hero two weeks earlier. Despite what many media tipsters and form analysts say, a 1.5 lengths defeat can easily be reversed - and often is, with generous odds also available.

3. Three horses resuming from spells including the lightly raced 3YO filly Carry On Cutie, a Group 1 winner at her last start in April, and the lightly raced 4YO mare, Shania Dane, a winner of the Group 2 Phar Lap Stakes when last in work.

Shania Dane won at the outstanding bookmaker starting price odds of $51.00 after top fluctuation of $61.00 was bet about her. Best tote odds were $45.80. In small fields you will often find bookmaker odds in Melbourne and Sydney better for the "roughies" than the tote.

We gave Shania Dane as a Poseidon Selection to members of our Premium Betting Package.

No wonder the Premium Betting Package is the best value for money horse racing package around!

This edition of Punt to Win:
Horse racing value wagering tips
Get those betting odds
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Betting favourites in small fields
Betting tips from the track: Rosehill and Moonee Valley
Racing results for horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 13/8/2005
Punt to Win index


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