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23/5/2003 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

The results should prove quite interesting.

Here are the results from Saturday, May 17.

Rosehill: Track Heavy
R2 $50,000 race
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: five
Favourite: Masked
Result: first
Winning/losing margin: 0.8 lengths
Starting price: $3.50
Top fluctation: $3.50
Tote dividends' range: $2.50 - $2.80
Jockey: Rod Quinn
Trainer: John Hawkes

R5 $50,000 race
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Fixated
Result: first
Winning/losing margin: short head
Starting price: $1.80
Top fluctation: $2.00
Tote dividends' range: $1.80 - $1.90
Jockey: Rod Quinn
Trainer: John Hawkes

Sandown Hillside: Track Slow
R5 $40,000 race
Distance: 1300 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Recast
Result: first
Winning/losing margin: 2.5 lengths
Starting price: $2.30
Top fluctation: $2.70
Tote dividends' range: $2.30 - $2.40
Jockey: Bryce Dieckmann
Trainer: Bradley Marzato

Morphettville: Track Good
R2 $125,000 race
Distance: 1600 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Under The Bridge
Result: first
Winning/losing margin: 0.5 lengths
Starting price: $1.60
Top fluctation: $1.70
Tote dividends' range: $1.40 - $1.60
Jockey: Steven Arnold
Trainer: Tony Vasil

This edition of Punt to Win:
Racecaller betting tips and form analysis
The Stradbroke Handicap pre-post betting odds
Betting on Heavy tracks
Betting favourites in small fields
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Rosehill betting tips from the track
Money talks - Sandown Hillside betting tips from the track
Money talks - Doomben betting tips from the track
Money talks - Morphettville betting tips from the track
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 16/5/2003
Punt to Win index


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