Punt to Win
Wide Barrier Quick Pick
Some racecallers and media tipsters perpetuate the betting myth that horses drawn wide have no chance because of the barrier. They regularly use wide barriers to explain why horses were beaten 10 lengths.
Nothing is more ridiculous. All handicappers understand that a wide barrier is not a 10 lengths' penalty!
So here is a very simple method of finding horses that are often unreasonably at big odds just because of the barrier draw.
Here are the rules:
1. After scratchings the horse is drawn barrier 10 or worse.
2. The horse has won at the distance and also won at the track.
3. The horse must not be race favourite. Nor must it be first up from a spell.
4. Its last start muct have been no longer than four weeks earlier.
5. The horse must have placed or run no worse than two lengths from the winner at its last start.
6. The horse must be carrying no more than 58kg. after allowing for apprentice claims. (Ignore this for Weight for Age races.)
7. The jockey must have won previously on the horse or be a leading jockey.
You can bring in plenty of your own additional rules. Used sensibly you will have plenty of fun with this method and get plenty of good priced winners and placegetters.
This edition of Punt to Win:
Best Tote Odds?
|Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.|