25/6/2005 edition

True Favourites
Betting System

This simple method lets you find out whether the favourite is a true favourite. Put each favourite through the following test.

There is a total of 57 points. The higher the better.

1. The horse must have won its last start or not been beaten by more than 2.5 lengths. (8 points)

2. It should have had its last start within 21 days. (8 points)

3. It must have proven that it can handle the day's track conditions. If it is a Heavy track it must have raced on and proven that it can handle a Heavy track. (8 points)

4. It must have won or been placed within 100 metres of the distance of today's race. (6 points)

5. It must have won or been placed at today's track. (6 points)

6. It must not be handicapped at more than 2.5kg. above what it carried last start. Work this out from the Limit weight - the minimum handicap weight for the race. (6 points)

7. It must have an experienced senior jockey, a top apprentice, or a jockey who has previously won on it. (5 points)

8. It must have a win strike rate of better than 20%. (5 points)

9. It must be at $2.00 or better. (5 points)

That's it. Simple and effective.

This edition of Punt to Win:
How to make money betting trifectas
Get those betting odds
True favourites betting system
Betting favourites in small fields
Betting tips from the track: Rosehill and Sandown Lakeside
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 18/6/2005
Punt to Win index

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