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26/3/2004 edition

Rosehill Horseracing Track
Betting Tips from the Track
Plunge Horses
Money Talks?

Each week we will feature tables showing just how successful the "smart money" was. To qualify a horse must have firmed 5% in the betting market. For example if a horse was backed in from $5.00 (4/1 or 20%) to $4.00 (3/1 or 25%) it will qualify. Odds calculator gives you tables.

When the horse wins, so you can judge for yourself how sensible or silly it is over the long term to "follow the money" on the tote, we will also include as an example the the SuperTab tote dividend. Plenty of tote punters will have collected that tote dividend. Most of them would have "followed the money" on the tote.

Are they getting big enough winning dividends when they "follow the money" on the tote to cover themselves for when "following the tote money loses"?

The jockeys and trainers are also important. You may see some jockeys and trainers consistently bringing home plunges whereas others regularly fail to deliver.

Rosehill, Saturday, 20th. March, 2004

Horse, jockey
and trainer

Firmed from % Firm SuperTab
Tote
Finish Beaten/winning margin
Taikun
2.50
2.20
5.45%
2.10
1/7
2.3 lengths
Glen Boss
Bart Cummings
 
Only Words
2.90
2.50
5.52%
2.80
1/9
1.8 lengths
Rod Quinn
John Hawkes
 
Private Steer
4.00
3.10
7.26%
-
2/16
0.5 lengths
Glen Boss
John O'Shea
 
Not one horse firmed 5% in the bookmakers' betting ring at Moonee Valley.

Warning
Short Priced Tote Favourites

These are losing bets.

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor tote odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


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