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27/12/2002 edition

Moonee Valley
Betting Tip from the Track

On hearing from Sky Racing's Moonee Valley "man at the track" that there'd been support for longshot Kayjay's Rocket, Sky Racing host Brendan Parnell became very enthusiastic:

"And check out the 12 Kayjay's Rocket." He then added, "If you'd like to know more about it it's by Kinjite, New Zealand galloper." While that's an interesting bit of information, how is that going to help anyone decide whether to back Kayjay's Rocket?

Brendan Parnell then told us that Kayjay's Rocket had placed in New Zealand at Pukekohe Park, Trentham, and Te Rapa.

Distances of races? Brendan Parnell didn't mention that. The races were actually from 1400 metres to 1600 metres. We do not believe that is particularly relevant for a 2040 metres race.

Brendan Parnell then added that Kayjay's Rocket came to Sandown and placed behind Belus. Again, how is that going to help anyone decide whether to back Kayjay's Rocket over 2040 metres at Moonee Valley?

Brendan Parnell then added that at its last start, in the Traralgon Cup, Kayjay's Rocket struck its head at the barrier, but still finished fifth behind Prince Benbara.

He then described the run, "So with plenty of merit on that occasion Peter Mertens again has the ride today." Brendan Parnell did not add that Kayjay's Rocket was a well beaten fifth, by over five lengths. Brendan Parnell also did not mention that it was on Slow ground, making the run pretty irrelevant considering the Moonee Valley race was on a Good track.

Brendan Parnell then pointed out that Kayjay's Rocket would firm on the tote following "that wrap from the on course news." Kayjay's Rocket had actually only been specked on track from $26.00 to $16.00. At those odds it doesn't take much money.

Kayjay's Rocket was ridden perfectly by Peter Mertens, but only plodded in the straight and finished a well held fifth.

But there was one very significant piece of information that Brendan Parnell, after saying "If you'd like to know more about it" (Kayjay's Rocket) did not tell us.

I would have thought the first thing Brendan Parnell could have told us was that the 5YO gelding had won just twice from 38 starts. Who would have wanted to hear anything else about Kayjay's Rocket as a betting proposition if the first thing they'd been told was that it had only won twice from 38 starts?

This edition of Punt to Win:
Moonee Valley horse racing track betting tip
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Randwick betting tips from the track
Money talks - Moonee Valley betting tips from the track
Money talks - Doomben betting tips from the track
Money talks - Victoria Park betting tips from the track
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 20/12/2002
Punt to Win index

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