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28/6/2002 edition

Handicapping Tips
Weight and Class

We're all used to hearing "The horse has the class," to justify why a horse handicapped with a high weight should win. Similarly we're told "It's a 54 minimum. So the horse is only six kilos above the minimum."

However, the more weight, the less class a horse will have. Give a horse enough weight and it will have no class.

By the time horses have to carry 59kg. (60 with the safety vest), many become very dubious betting propositions at short odds. Similarly with jumpers - 69kg. (70 with the safety vest) is a very tough proposition.

The table below shows how horses that carried 59kg. or more fared last Saturday. The safety vest is not included in the weight.) It's certainly worth thinking about.

Randwick
Horse
Weight
SP Odds
Finish
Marvilha
59kg.
$5.00
2/7
Dance Director
61kg.
$3.40
2/8
Arrabeea
60kg.
$4.80
8/9
Penny Opera
59kg.
$6.50
11/11
Eagle Farm
Horse
Weight
SP Odds
Finish
Paris Heartbeat
59kg.
$8.00
7/12
Carael Boy
59kg.
$5.00
8/18
Moonee Valley
Horse
Weight
SP Odds
Finish
Titanic Jack
59kg.
$2.25
1/14
St. Steven
71.5kg.
$3.20
3/8

This edition of Punt to Win:
Weight and class handicapping tips
Three betting tips to remember
Horse racing betting system tips
Money talks - Randwick plunge horses
Money talks - Moonee Valley plunge horses
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 21/6/2002
Punt to Win index


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Horse

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Dutch Harry 27.20 33.70 $650
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