Pro-Punter Australia Horseracing Betting Tips John Hawkes Trainer

John Hawkes and the Melbourne Trainers' Premiership
Everyone "knew" that John Hawkes, eager to win the Melbourne trainers' premiership, was bringing down horses from Sydney in July to complement his Melbourne team of horses.

Have a look at the table below. It shows how the John Hawkes' trained horses performed in July on Saturdays in Melbourne - the horses that everyone "knew" were primed for big races to help John Hawkes win the trainers' premiership.

Flemington 5/7/2002
Horse	$ SP Odds	Finish
Domine	6.00	6/15
Gramercy	3.50	7/13
Victorix	10.00	4/13
Naareda	10.00	3/13
Lilindeeana	10.00	7/14
Moonee Valley 12/7/2002
Horse	$ SP Odds	Finish
Tito	3.00	4/13
Hollow	13.00	8/13
Gradual	3.20	7/12
Kepero	7.00	4/13
Tweak	9.00	7/13
Old Man	8.00	4/12
Caulfield 19/7/2002
Horse	$ SP Odds	Finish
Lambeth	8.00	6/11
Volley	17.00	10/11
Palais	3.50	4/7
Gramercy	11.00	4/15
Malo	8.00	8/15
Sports	13.00	9/11
Philotimo	6.50	6/9
Boreale	2.35	2/13
Orthopaedic	12.00	12/15
Moonee Valley 26/7/2002
Horse	$ SP Odds	Finish
Snick	4.00	3/7
Gironde	21.00	5/13
Boreale	3.50	9/13
Old Man	4.60	5/8
Victorix	5.00	10/15

What an absolute disaster. 25 runners - not one winner. Many were favourites. Just about all were kept very safe in the betting. Because punters "knew" the horses were set to win, as John Hawkes wanted to win the trainers' premiership, you can bet that his horses would most likely be under the odds on the tote and with the bookies. That's the way horse racing betting operates.

As we repeatedly stress on this site, what everyone "knows" in horse racing is guaranteed to provide you ways of losing betting money long term, nothing else. It can be no different, because racing is a negative sums game which consistently returns less money than is outlaid in bets.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Betting with tips everyone knows
John Hawkes' - trainers' premiership
Was Shaye Spice a value bet?
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Betting tips comment
Two betting tips for value
Trainer watch - up and coming trainer
Money talks - Randwick, Eagle Farm plunge horses
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 26/7/2002
Punt to Win index

Betting packages

Back Tote Longshots?

Horse	Get these prices?	Or these prices!!	Extra Profit $100 bet
Top Marc	30.10	43.60	$1350
Superfine	20.30	25.20	$490
The Kildare Kid	13.10	15.10	$200

You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.

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