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2/8/2002 edition

Handicapping Tips
Weight and Class

We're all used to hearing "The horse has the class," to justify why a horse handicapped with a high weight should win. Similarly we're told "It's a 54 minimum. So the horse is only six kilos above the minimum."

Those sort of comments do not show an understanding of how handicaps affect most horses. The more weight, the less class a horse will have. Give a horse enough weight and it will have no class.

By the time horses have to carry 59kg. (60 with the safety vest), many become very dubious betting propositions at short odds. Similarly with jumpers - 69kg. (70 with the safety vest) is a very tough proposition.

The table below shows how horses that carried 59kg. or more fared last Saturday. (The safety vest is not included in the weight.) We're updating each week. It's certainly worth looking at this information over the long term.

Randwick 27/7/2002
Horse
Weight
Barrier Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Varino
59.5kg.
2
1600
$19.00
7/7
Georgie Boy
59kg.
6
1200
$12.00
6/10
Another six horses at Randwick, Moonee Valley and Eagle Farm had apprentice claims which reduced their weight to below 59kg. No horses at Cheltenham were handicapped with 59kg. or more.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Betting with tips everyone knows
John Hawkes' - trainers' premiership
Was Shaye Spice a value bet?
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Betting tips comment
Two betting tips for value
Trainer watch - up and coming trainer
Money talks - Randwick, Eagle Farm plunge horses
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 26/7/2002
Punt to Win index


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