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2/12/2006 edition

Trifecta Betting Tips

Flexi Betting is here!

With Flexi betting now being introduced to Victorian tote pools such as trifecta and first four betting pools, betting these multiples correctly becomes even more important.

For starters, let us get rid of the fallacy made by amateur punters that in a field of eight "The Professionals" take the $2.00 favourite to win and place in every trifecta combination possible. That is an absolute nonsense. They wouldn't be professionals for very long if they did that, because the unders are abysmal.

It's thousands of small time punters who stand out short priced favourites in those sorts of fields, because they bet trifectas to get a collect every race. Sure, they get plenty of collects, but they are guaranteed long term losers because of the amount they outlay to get those collects.

This does not change with Flexi betting. In fact, for many punters Flexi betting is an outright trap. Because it costs no more to take out multiple trifecta combinations, they will do so. But it's absolutely useless collecting something like one twentieth of the payout if you have bet a small fortune relative to your possible collects. It's no use outlaying more each race than you collect.

That's the same reason why trifectas in fields of say five horses have always paid abysmally. Numerous punters will box all the horses, because "I can't lose." What a nonsense. We've seen punters do this with a $1.50 tote favourite, proudly flashing their ticket around for all to see, exclaiming, "Look, I can't lose. I must win!" Then for their $60 outlay (one dollar units) get back $5.00.

Small fields are generally shocking trifecta betting races. The best size fields are between 10 to 14 runners where you have a chance of getting decent returns and do not have to take a massive number of trifecta combinations to cover the most likely combinations.

These races are even better if the tote favourite is about $4.00 and you believe it will not run a place.

Beware:
If there are short priced tote favourites in these races they are usually poor trifecta betting races because if the tote favourite finishes in the first three the dividend will probably be wrecked.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Flexi betting trifecta tips
The best horse racing tipping service on the internet
Get those betting odds
The Upset Winners horse racing betting system
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Betting favourites in small fields
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting tips from the track: Randwick & Sandown
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 25/11/2006
Punt to Win index


2006 Melbourne Cup Carnival Winners
Best Tote Odds

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $10 bet
Typhoon Zed 21.50 28.90 $74
Delta Blues 17.50 20.20 $27
Lyrical Bid 16.50 19.00 $25
Brom Felinity 13.30 15.70 $24
Dance Hero 12.60 14.90 $23
Southern Courage 16.20 18.30 $21


 

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