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28/8/2010
edition
Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields
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There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about
favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on
a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne,
Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.
When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details
of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example
if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer
odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than
they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate
on favourites in small fields? And so on.
Here are the results from Saturday, 14th. August, 2010.
Rosehill: Track Slow.
R1 $70,000 3YO & UP. Rating 85. Handicap.
Distance: 2000 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: African Prince
Result: 5th.
Starting price: $3.10
Jockey: Glyn Schofield
Trainer: Chris Waller
Winner: Hawk Island
Starting price: $3.30
Top fluctuation: $3.30
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.60
Jockey: Kody Nestor
Trainer: Chris Waller
R4 $100,000 3YO & UP. Listed. Handicap.
Distance: 1100 metres
Number of runners: 5
Favourite: Winter King
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $1.80
Top fluctuation: $1.95
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.70
Jockey: Glyn Schofield
Trainer: David Payne
Caulfield: Track Heavy.
R1 $70,000 Open. Handicap.
Distance: 2000 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: Zoomin
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $3.50
Top fluctuation: $4.20
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.00
Jockey: Glen Boss
Trainer: Michael Kent
Doomben: Track Slow.
R1 $50,000 Open. Handicap.
Distance: 2200 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Sir Kingsford
Result: 1st.
Starting price: $2.90
Top fluctuation: $2.90
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.90
Jockey: Chris Munce
Trainer: Len Bryant
Morphettville: Track Dead.
R1 $32,000 Rating 94. Handicap.
Distance: 2500 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Summery
Result: 3rd.
Starting price: $2.25
Jockey: Claudia Lions
Trainer: Richard Jolly
Winner: Crabs
Starting price: $2.50
Top fluctuation: $2.50
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.50
Jockey: Jack Hill
Trainer: Chris Hyland
This edition of Punt to Win:
Following Horse Racing Media Tipsters' Betting Advice & Betting Tips
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The Professional Punter's horse racing news
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The Wide Barrier horse racing betting system
Horse racing betting facts, tips & odds
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
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Betfair: Where you can "be the bookie" & offer the odds!
Free sports betting package
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 21/8/2010
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 14/8/2010
Win betting - horse racing favourites: 7/8/2010
Get those betting odds
Future winners - unlucky horses
Betting favourites in small fields: 21/8/2010
Betting favourites in small fields: 14/8/2010
Betting favourites in small fields: 7/8/2010
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Punt to Win 7/8/2010
Punt to Win index
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Need Top Odds
It's unlikely you'll get a high enough
strike rate backing short priced tote favourites
and poor value tote horses to make up for
big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.
If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.
It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short
priced tote favourites.
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