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11/7/2015 edition

Betting Horse Racing Favourites
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in our forum over the years about horse racing favourites in small fields. So we've been monitoring horse racing favourites in small fields here. We're now looking at Saturday horse races in the three strongest horse racing cities of Melbourne, famous for the Melbourne Cup, Sydney, where the 2YO Golden Slipper Stakes grabs the horse racing headlines and Brisbane where the Doomben 10,000 is a famous feature horse race.

Most horse races in these cities have a field size of more than seven horses, so it will be interesting to see what happens when the field size is just seven or fewer horses.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

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There were no small horse race fields on Saturday, 4th. July, 2015.

Here are the results from Rosehill for punters betting favourites in small horse race fields on Saturday, 27th. June, 2015.

Rosehill: Track Heavy.

R4 $100,000 3YO & UP. Quality. Listed. Handicap.
Distance: 2400 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Danchai
Result: 3rd.
Starting price: $3.70
Jockey: Hugh Bowman
Trainer: Chris Waller
Winner: Kapour
Starting price: $8.00
Top fluctuation: $8.00
Tote dividend: $6.50
Jockey: Kerrin McEvoy
Trainer: Ciaron Maher

R5 $85,000 3YO. Rating 78. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Queen Of Kariba
Result: 1st.

Starting price: $3.60
Top fluctuation: $4.00
Tote dividend: $3.90
Jockey: Winona Costin
Trainer: John Sargent

This edition of Punt to Win:
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The Professional Punter's horse racing news
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Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
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Group 1 horse racing results: 20/6/2015
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Get those betting odds
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 4/7/2015 & 27/6/2015
Betting horse racing favourites in small fields: 20/6/2015
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 20/6/2015

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It's unlikely you'll get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and poor value tote horses to make up for big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.

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  Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.