Punt to Win

Pro-Punter
Horse racing forums
Swap tips and discuss betting systems and software
Win at racing

 

 

3/5/2014 edition

Betting Horse Racing Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in our forum over the years about favourites in small fields. So we've been monitoring favourites in small fields here. We're now looking at Saturday races in the three strongest horse racing cities of Melbourne, famous for the Melbourne Cup, Sydney, where the 2YO Golden Slipper Stakes grabs the racing headlines and Brisbane where the Doomben 10,000 is a famous feature horse race.

Most races in these cities have a field size of more than seven horses, so it will be interesting to see what happens when the field size is just seven or fewer horses.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

Here are the results for punters betting favourites in small horse race fields on Saturday, 26th. April, 2014.

Randwick: Track Slow.

R2 $150,000 3YO & UP. Group 3. Set weights and penalties.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Knoydart
Result: 2nd.
Starting price: $2.00
Jockey: Kerrin McEvoy
Trainer: Peter Snowden
Winner: Hot Snitzel
Starting price: $7.00
Top fluctuation: $7.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $6.60
Jockey: Hugh Bowman
Trainer: Gerald Ryan


Eagle Farm: Track Good.

R2 $80,000 Quality. Listed. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 2128 metres
Number of runners: 7
Favourite: Brave Ali
Result: 1st.

Starting price: $2.80
Top fluctuation: $3.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.90
Jockey: Tegan Harrison
Trainer: Tony Gollan


There were no small horse race fields on Saturday, 19th. April, 2014.

Here is the result for punters betting favourites in small horse race fields on Saturday, 12th. April, 2014.

Caulfield: Track Slow.

R1 $80,000 Open. Handicap.
Distance: 2400 metres
Number of runners: 6
Favourite: Westsouthwest
Result: 1st.

Starting price: $2.80
Top fluctuation: $2.90
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.70
Jockey: Jackie Beriman
Trainer: Robert Smerdon

This edition of Punt to Win:
Should you bet money on tote favourites?
The Free High Strike Rate Win Big horse racing betting system
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Group 1 horse racing results: All Aged Stakes Day 26/4/2014
Group 1 horse racing results: Queen Elizabeth Stakes Day 19/4/2014
Group 1 horse racing results: Australian Derby & Doncaster Handicap Day 12/4/2014
Free horse racing ratings & betting tips package membership!
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields: 26/4/2014, 19/4/2014 & 12/4/2014

Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 12/4/2014
Punt to Win Index - 2000 to Present


You Need Top Odds

It's unlikely you'll get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and poor value tote horses to make up for big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.

If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.

It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short priced tote favourites.


Copyright ©1998-present. OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved.

 

Home | Contact us | Horse racing forum | Advertise

 
  Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.