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4/7/2003 edition

Racecaller Betting Tips

The first race at Cheltenham last Saturday was a 2YO Colts and Geldings race over 1000 metres on a rain affected track. There were 16 runners in the field including five first starters.

Here's the "information" given to us by the racecaller about first starter My Harley as the horses were entering the barriers. By the way, it finished tenth.

"My Harley's in the market. Number 10. It's shorter on track. A lot shorter than $10.50. My Harley - it's a tip." As the racecaller was telling us that Sky Racing showed My Harley's tote price as $8.90.

What sort of a "tip" was My Harley? On track it opened at $4.00, eased out to $9.00 and started at $8.00. On another day a racecaller could have easily told you that it was not a "tip" but had gone for a bath or got the wobbles in the betting.

There were also any number of horses significantly shorter on track than on the tote because the bookmaker starting price market was a very tight 158% compared to the tote's pretty ordinary 120%. For example:

Tulum was $7.00 on track compared to $9.80 on the tote.
Wardroom was $7.00 on track compared to $11.00 on the tote.
The Goon firmed from $4.20 to $3.30 on track. It was $3.80 on the tote.

Why didn't the racecaller refer to The Goon, a real "tip" from the track, though long term it is no good taking the shorter odds?

Why didn't the racecaller point out how tight the bookmaker odds were at 158%? That explained why tote odds were superior.

We believe it is best for racecallers to stick at what most of them are good at - calling the races. Leave the tipping and price assessments of horses to others.

This edition of Punt to Win:
TAB Limited's "Spinner" bet
Racecaller betting tip
What horses' odds give you the best betting value?
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Randwick betting tips from the track
Money talks - Flemington betting tips from the track
Money talks - Ipswich betting tips from the track
Money talks - Cheltenham betting tips from the track
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 27/6/2003
Punt to Win index


Betting packages


Back Tote Longshots?

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
Touchy Subject 22.50 35.80 $1430
Proudly Aggro 29.40 38.90 $950
Silver Canon 30.90 39.90 $900
Sure Bet 15.50 23.90 $840
Starbucks 11.80 20.10 $830
Glefti 18.20 25.70 $750
Hammerbeam 27.30 24.20 $690


 

 

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