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4/7/2003 edition

Handicapping Tips
Weight and Class

We're all used to hearing "The horse has the class," to justify why a horse handicapped with a high weight should win. Similarly we're told "It's a 54 minimum. So the horse is only six kilos above the minimum."

Those sort of comments do not show an understanding of how handicaps affect most horses. The more weight, the less class a horse will have. Give a horse enough weight and it will have no class.

By the time horses have to carry 59kg. (60 with the safety vest), many become very dubious betting propositions at short odds. Similarly with jumpers - 70kg. (71 with the safety vest) is a very tough proposition.

The table below shows how horses that carried 59kg. or more and were supported in the bookmakers' betting ring market - with a starting price of $11.00 or shorter - fared last Saturday. (The safety vest is not included in the weight.) We're updating each week. It's certainly worth looking at this information over the long term.

Randwick 28/6/2003
Horse
Weight
Barrier Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Johnny Reb
59.5kg.
7
1600
$11.00
2/12
Flemington 28/6/2003
Horse
Weight
Barrier Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Specular
70.5kg.
4
4000
$2.40f.
2/11
Ipswich 28/6/2003
Horse
Weight
Barrier Distance
SP Odds
Finish
King's Coup
59kg.
3
1350
$3.20f.
4/11

This edition of Punt to Win:
TAB Limited's "Spinner" bet
Racecaller betting tip
What horses' odds give you the best betting value?
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Randwick betting tips from the track
Money talks - Flemington betting tips from the track
Money talks - Ipswich betting tips from the track
Money talks - Cheltenham betting tips from the track
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 27/6/2003
Punt to Win index


Betting packages


Warning
Short Priced Tote Favourites

These are losing bets.

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor tote odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


 

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  Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.