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5/7/2014 edition

Group 1 Horse Racing Results

Common advice given to punters by the horse racing media and in many publications educating punters about betting on horse racing is that the best races are also the best betting races for them. "Bet in the best quality races on very good, consistent horses," punters are regularly told.

Well, let's see if that is yet another betting myth.

So we're checking out the results of Group 1 races.

Do the favourites - usually very good consistent horses, win these races and when they don't win put in good runs? Is there any value when the favourites do win?

Or do the despised outsiders win Group 1 races? Meaning of course that punters are losing their money wagering in these races.

Here is the Group 1 horse racing result from Eagle Farm on Saturday, 21st. June, 2014.
(Where possible registered names have been used for the races.)

Eagle Farm: Track Dead.

R7: $500,000 Winter Stakes. Group 1. Fillies and Mares. Weight for Age.
Distance: 1400 metres.
Field size: 16
Winner: Cosmic Endeavour
Jockey: Tommy Berry
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
Bookmaker top fluctuation: $5.00
Bookmaker starting price: $5.00 favourite
Best tote: $5.20
Second: Angel Of Mercy - beaten by 0.2 lengths
Jockey: Timothy Bell
Trainer: Gerald Ryan
Bookmaker starting price: $26.00


Here are the Group 1 horse racing results from Eagle Farm on Saturday, 7th. June, 2014.
(Where possible registered names have been used for the races.)

Eagle Farm: Track Good.

R6 $500,000 J. J. Atkins Stakes. 2YO. Group 1. Set weights.
Distance: 1600 metres
Field size: 11
Winner: Almalad
Jockey: Tommy Berry
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
Bookmaker top fluctuation: $4.80
Bookmaker starting price: $4.80
Best tote: $4.30
Second: Brazen Beau - beaten by 0.2 lengths
Jockey: Nash Rawiller
Trainer: Chris Waller
Bookmaker starting price: $2.45 favourite

R7 $500,000 Queensland Derby. 3YO. Group 1. Set weights.
Distance: 2400 metres
Field size: 18
Winner: Sonntag
Jockey: Chad Schofield
Trainer: Henry Dwyer
Bookmaker top fluctuation: $13.00
Bookmaker starting price: $13.00
Best tote: $16.10
Second: Pinstripe Lane - beaten by 0.2 lengths
Jockey: Damien Oliver
Trainer: Troy Corstens
Bookmaker starting price: $5.50
Favourite: Vilanova

Finish: 3rd.
Jockey: Nash Rawiller
Trainer: Chris Waller
Bookmaker starting price: $4.80 favourite

R8 $1,360,000 Stradbroke Handicap. Open. Group 1. Handicap.
Distance: 1400 metres
Field size: 18
Winner: River Lad
Jockey: Damien Oliver
Trainer: Natalie McCall
Bookmaker top fluctuation: $31.00
Bookmaker starting price: $31.00
Best tote: $32.10
Second: Temple Of Boom - beaten by 0.1 lengths
Jockey: Tegan Harrison
Trainer: Tony Gollan
Bookmaker starting price: $26.00
Favourite: Srikandi

Finish: 3rd.
Jockey: Glen Boss
Trainer: Ciaron Maher
Bookmaker starting price: $6.00 favourite

This edition of Punt to Win:
Horse racing betting value and short odds favourites
The Free Improver horse racing betting system
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Group 1 horse racing results: 21/6/2014 & 7/6/2014
Free horse racing ratings & betting tips package membership!
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields: 28/6/2014 & 21/6/2014

Betting favourites in small fields: 14/6/2014
Betting favourites in small fields: 7/6/2014
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 3/5/2014
Punt to Win Index - 2000 to Present


You Need Top Odds

It's unlikely you'll get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and poor value tote horses to make up for big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.

If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.

It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short priced tote favourites.


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