Horse racing and
sports betting.
 
 

Punt to Win

Pro-Punter
Horse racing forums
Swap tips, discuss betting systems and win cash in our free competitions.

Qld, NT & Tasmanian Punters. Be GIVEN up to $700 in BONUS Bets!


Qld, NT & Tasmanian Punters. Be GIVEN up to a $250 BONUS Bet!


Join Betfair now!
Win at racing
Free tipping comps
Top Four Betting Ratings
Special offers
Forums and free tips
Free tipping comps
Horse racing forum
Betting systems forum
Ratings2Win forum
Sports betting forum
Bet online here
Free horse racing bets
Free sports betting tips
Free ratings
Tipping competitions
Free newsletters
Free racing newsletter
Smartgambler newsletter
AFL football
Horse racing betting
Premium Betting Package
Gold Specials
Monthly profit report
Latest winning bets
Winning bets index

 

 

5/12/2003 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

The results should prove quite interesting.

Here are the results from Saturday, November 29.

Rosehill: Track Good
R2 $50,000 2YO Colts & Geldings. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1100 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Not A Single Doubt
Result: first
Winning/losing margin: 5 lengths
Starting price: $1.70
Top fluctation: $1.80
Tote dividends' range: $1.50 - $1.70
Jockey: Larry Cassidy
Trainer: Graeme Rogerson

Moonee Valley: Track Good
R1 $40,000 2YO Fillies. Open. Set weights with penalties.
Distance: 1000 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Carlton Ace
Result: first
Winning/losing margin: 0.5 lengths
Starting price: $3.70
Top fluctation: $3.70
Tote dividends' range: $3.60 - $3.90
Jockey: Greg Childs
Trainer: Tony McEvoy

R2 $40,000 3YO Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Sunboat
Result: third
Winning/losing margin: 1.5 lengths
Starting price: $2.70
Top fluctation: $2.70
Jockey: Danny Nikolic
Trainer: Lee Freedman
Winner: Go Fuhrever
Winning/losing margin: 0.8 lengths
Starting price: $4.20
Top fluctation: $4.40
Tote dividends' range: $3.00 - $3.40
Jockey: Patrick Payne
Trainer: James Sheppard

Victoria Park: Track Good
R2 $22,000 2YO Open. Set weights with penalties.
Distance: 1000 metres
Number of runners: five
Favourite: Headland
Result: first
Winning/losing margin: 6.3 lengths
Starting price: $1.40
Top fluctation: $1.40
Tote dividends' range: $1.50 - $1.60
Jockey: Aaron Spiteri
Trainer: Tony McEvoy

This edition of Punt to Win:
Tab merger - will larger pools add betting value?
2003 Japan Cup betting odds
System selling pests

Betting favourites in small fields
Money talks - Rosehill, Moonee Valley betting tips from the track
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 28/11/2003
Punt to Win index


Betting packages


You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


Specials
Free horse racing ratings tips betting service
Horse racing news

Fantastic bookmaker betting odds value
Top horse racing and sports wagering odds
Best online bookmakers

Copyright ©1998-2015 OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved.

 

Home | Contact us | Special offers | Horse racing forum | Advertise here

 
  Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.