Punt to Win

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6/5/2006 edition

Horse Racing
Betting Strategy and Tips

1. Big last start winners - watch the odds

Horses who win by three lengths or more have a big plus. The handicapper cannot increase their weight at their next start by enough to completely nullify the three lengths' winning margin.

There is also a big negative. All punters can see the large winning margin. As a result many of these horses are sent around well under the odds at their next start.

However if you do your homework you can still back some pretty good winners at their next starts from this group. In particular look for lightly raced horses rising in class and dropping in weight.

But stay clear if the odds are short. Because you can then guarantee the media and every punter has taken note of its last start win and it is now being sent around under the odds.

2. Bet on horses who make their own luck

With the racing patterns in Australia it is pretty clear if you want to maximise your chances of success you must:

1. Concentrate on backing horses who lead or race on the speed.

2. Penalise most run on horses.

3. If you back run on horses then you must take longer odds about them than for on pace runners.

The following is a typical excuse used for a run on horse that just failed to win after running on hard:

"I thought his run was unbelievable. I have no doubt he is the best horse in the race. But the pace steadied during the middle stages which made things hard for us."

If the horse had raced on the speed that would not be an issue.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Big last start winners - watch the odds
Bet on horses who make their own luck
The best horse racing tipping service on the internet
Get those betting odds
The High Strike Rate Winners horse racing betting system
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Betting favourites in small fields - 29/4/2006
Betting favourites in small fields - 22/4/2006
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting tips from the track: Hawkesbury Guineas Day & Caulfield
Betting tips from the track: Randwick Sydney Cup Day & Moonee Valley
Racing results for horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 22/4/2006
Punt to Win index

2005 Melbourne Cup Carnival Winners
Best Tote Odds?


Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $10 bet
Coronga 10.80 13.70 $29
Funlove 8.40 11.20 $28
All Bar One 15.20 17.50 $23
Segments 7.40 9.50 $21
Testafiable 6.20 8.30 $21
Freeroller 10.10 12.10 $20
Glamour Puss 9.00 10.60 $16


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  Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.