6/9/2002 edition

Carnival Horse Racing
Value Betting Odds

Spring Carnival racing is well and truly here. Races are already having an early affect on the Cox Plate, Caulfield Cup and Melbourne Cup betting markets.

It is absolutely essential to get genuine value with your bets. Many horses going around as $4.00 favourites in fields of 15 runners are well under their true winning chances.

Have a look at some of the horses that went around as beaten favourites last Saturday:

Rosehill:

Son Of Pegasus - $2.35 in a 3YO Open over 1100 metres. First up. Let's be logical and do a bit of risk analysis. In the field of 10 there were another three first up runners. There were also another three fit, last start winners. $2.35? You've got to be kidding!

Fair Embrace - $4.00 lugging 61kg. and first in a Fillies Listed race over 1100 metres. Add a rusty jockey in Simon Marshall to the equation and $4.00 was a shocking price to take in a field of 14.

Native Jazz - $3.80 lugging 60kg. and starting from barrier 13 in a Listed 1900 metres race.

Time Deposit - $4.60 in a very open field of 14. First up with barrier 12 and the Chris Munce jockey, Gai Waterhouse trainer combination. Often a dangerous combination for punters in our opinion.

Clangalang - $4.60 in an open field of 14, a 3YO Group 2 race. The backmarker was always going to need luck.

This edition of Punt to Win:
"This horse can't lose"
Carnival racing favourites, value betting odds - Rosehill
Carnival racing favourites, value betting odds - Caulfield
Spring Carnival horses/betting tips
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Rosehill plunge horses
Money talks - Caulfield plunge horses
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 30/8/2002
Punt to Win index

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