Horse racing and
sports betting.
 
 

Punt to Win

Pro-Punter
Horse racing forums
Swap tips and discuss betting systems and software

Qld, NT and Tasmanian punters, claim up to $502 deposit match!


Qld, NT and Tasmanian punters, claim up to a $250 bonus bet!


Join Betfair now!
Win at racing

 

 

7/6/2008 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in our forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

The results should prove quite interesting.

Here are the results from Saturday, 17th. May, when the Doomben Cup was held.

Rosehill: Track Good

R1 $70,000 2YO. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: six
Favourite: Soho Secret
Result: third
Starting price: $2.50
Jockey: Jeff Lloyd
Trainer: David Payne
Winner: Baci Amore
Starting price: $6.50
Top fluctuation: $7.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $5.80
Jockey: Nash Rawiller
Trainer: David Payne

R2 $70,000 3YO and upward. Fillies & Mares. Rst86. Handicap.
Distance: 1500 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Hexameter
Result: second
Starting price: $2.05
Jockey: Rod Quinn
Trainer: Peter Snowden
Winner: Poetic Genius
Starting price: $4.60
Top fluctuation: $4.80
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.90
Jockey: Peter Wells
Trainer: Graeme Rogerson

R5 $100,000 3YO and upward. Listed. Handicap.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Al Be Nimble
Result: first

Starting price: $3.30
Top fluctuation: $3.40
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.80
Jockey: Nash Rawiller
Trainer: Gwenda Markwell


Morphettville: Track Dead

R1 $22,000 3YO and upward. Rs2ly. Handicap.
Distance: 1050 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Our Currency
Result: second
Starting price: $2.80
Jockey: Dominic Tourneur
Trainer: Brian Mueller
Winner: Lord Of Lauriston
Starting price: $10.00
Top fluctuation: $10.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $13.10
Jockey: Shirley Bailey
Trainer: Stuart Gower

R4 $34,000 Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Disquiet
Result: third
Starting price: $2.30
Jockey: Ryan Plumb
Trainer: Richard Jolly
Winner: El Maze
Starting price: $4.20
Top fluctuation: $4.20
SuperTab tote dividend: $4.50
Jockey: Clare Lindop
Trainer: Leon Macdonald

This edition of Punt to Win:
Professional horse racing betting tips
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Get those betting odds
The Wide Barrier horse racing betting system
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Betting favourites in small fields: 31/5/2008
Betting favourites in small fields: 24/5/2008
Betting favourites in small fields: 17/5/2008
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Plunge horses - betting tips from the track
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 17/5/2008
Punt to Win index


You Need Top Odds

It's unlikely you'll get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and poor value tote horses to make up for big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.

If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.

It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short priced tote favourites.


Best online bookmakers
Best online poker rooms

Copyright 1998-present. OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved.

 

Home | Contact us | Special offers | Horse racing forum | Advertise here

 
  Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.