Horse racing and
sports betting.
 
 

Punt to Win

Pro-Punter
Horse racing forums
Swap tips and discuss betting systems and software

Qld, NT and Tasmanian punters, claim up to $502 deposit match!


Qld, NT and Tasmanian punters, claim up to a $250 bonus bet!


Join Betfair now!
Win at racing

 

 

8/4/2006 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

The results should prove quite interesting.

Here are the results from Saturday, 1st. April.

Doomben: Track Dead

R3 $40,000 Rs1ly. Handicap.
Distance: 1010 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Black Suit
Result: first

Starting price: $2.25
Top fluctuation: $2.70
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.50
Jockey: Jason Taylor
Trainer: Richie Stephenson


Cheltenham: Track Good

R1 $22,000 2YO. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1000 metres
Number of runners: six
Favourite: Comes The Dawn
Result: third
Starting price: $1.60
Top fluctuation: $1.90
Jockey: Paul Gatt
Trainer: David Hayes
Winner: So Ready
Starting price: $4.00
Top fluctuation: $5.50
SuperTab tote dividend: $4.50
Jockey: David Carney
Trainer: David Balfour

R4 $26,000 Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1000 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Starhere
Result: third
Starting price: $2.60
Top fluctuation: $3.00
Jockey: Scott Leckey
Trainer: Richard Jolly
Winner: Headland
Starting price: $3.50
Top fluctuation: $3.50
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.30
Jockey: Paul Gatt
Trainer: David Hayes

This edition of Punt to Win:
2YO Golden Slipper: bet safe, bet smart
The best horse racing tipping service on the internet
Get those betting odds
The Senior Jockey horse racing betting system
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Betting favourites in small fields
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting tips from the track: Rosehill Guineas Day & Caulfield
Racing results for horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 1/4/2006
Punt to Win index


You Need Top Odds

It's unlikely you'll get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and poor value tote horses to make up for big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.

If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.

It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short priced tote favourites.


Best online bookmakers
Best online poker rooms

Copyright 1998-present. OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved.

 

Home | Contact us | Special offers | Horse racing forum | Advertise here

 
  Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.