8/10/2005 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

The results should prove quite interesting.

Here are the results from Saturday, 1st. October.

Flemington: Track Good

R2 $100,000 3YO Colts & Geldings. Listed. Set weights with penalties.
Distance: 1410 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Perfectly Ready
Result: second
Starting price: $2.70
Top fluctuation: $2.70
Jockey: Steven King
Trainer: Mick Price
Winner: Gonski
Starting price: $4.00
Top fluctuation: $5.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $4.50
Jockey: Danny Nikolic
Trainer: Tim Martin

Doomben: Track Good

R1 $40,000 Class 6. Handicap.
Distance: 1615 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Rampant Lion
Result: second
Starting price: $2.90
Top fluctuation: $2.90
Jockey: Dale Evans
Trainer: Sandra O'Sullivan
Winner: Tycoon Rose
Starting price: $3.00
Top fluctuation: $3.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.20
Jockey: Kylie Cunningham
Trainer: Robert J Armstrong

R2 $25,000 3YO. Class 6. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Nova Star
Result: fourth
Starting price: $2.40
Top fluctuation: $2.40
Jockey: Stathi Katsidis
Trainer: Kelly Schweida
Winner: Les Jeux D'Esprit
Starting price: $14.00
Top fluctuation: $14.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $35.90
Jockey: Dale Evans
Trainer: Jon Walk

R5 $75,000 Quality. Handicap.
Distance: 1010 metres
Number of runners: six
Favourite: Golden Fox
Result: third
Starting price: $2.60
Top fluctuation: $2.60
Jockey: Scott Galloway
Trainer: Trevor Whittington
Winner: Imprisoned
Starting price: $4.20
Top fluctuation: $4.20
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.40
Jockey: Glen Colless
Trainer: John Wallace

Victoria Park: Track Good

R1 $18,000 Hurdle. Handicap.
Distance: 3200 metres
Number of runners: six
Favourite: Conzeal
Result: first
Starting price: $2.00
Top fluctuation: $2.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.00
Jockey: Brett Scott
Trainer: Eric Musgrove

R3 $23,000 Fillies & Mares. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1400 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Open Cut
Result: first
Starting price: $1.80
Top fluctuation: $2.30
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.90
Jockey: Clare Lindop
Trainer: Leon Macdonald

R4 $20,000 3YO and upward. Rs2ly. Handicap.
Distance: 1600 metres
Number of runners: seven|
Favourite: Civil
Result: fourth
Starting price: $2.00
Top fluctuation: $2.00
Jockey: Scott Leckey
Trainer: John Hickmott
Winner: Susie Mine
Result: first
Starting price: $3.50
Top fluctuation: $3.60
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.10
Jockey: Dominic Tourneur
Trainer: Brian Mueller

This edition of Punt to Win:
David Hayes' Flemington betting plunge
Get those betting odds
The "Lay the Favourite" trifecta horse racing betting system
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Betting favourites in small fields
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting tips from the track: Randwick and Flemington
Racing results for horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 1/10/2005
Punt to Win index

Betting packages

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