9/8/2002 edition

Trifecta Betting Tips

Can you believe it? SuperTab held a trifecta pool of over $109,000 on the Bletchingly Stakes last Saturday, a five horse race won by Rubitano, who paid $1.40 for the win on SuperTab!

On SuperTab the lucky trifecta winners collected $6.30 for their one dollar outlay. On the New South Wales tote the dividend was an even more paltry $4.80.

How was it possible to make a profit?

1. Punters who boxed the five horses because "You can't lose" found that for $60.00 they got back just $6.30 on SuperTab.

2. Punters who took Rubitano x field x field bet $12.00 for a $6.30 return on SuperTab.

3. Punters who took Rubitano to win with second favourite Ruby Slipper for second, (she came second) with the three roughies for third at a cost of $3.00 got back $6.30. That is like a paltry even money winner for selecting the first two finishers in correct order, hardly value.

On the New South Wales tote with its $4.80 dividend that was the equivalent of backing a $1.60 winner for selecting the first two finishers in correct order, abysmal value.

4. Probably the only way to play the race was to take Ruby Slipper to win with the three roughies for second and third. For an outlay of $6.00 it would probably have paid huge overs as every tote punter would have Rubitano in the top three.

Our recommendation would have been to leave the race alone.

Small fields are generally shocking trifecta betting races. The best size fields are between 10 to 14 runners where you have a chance of getting decent returns and do not have to outlay a fortune. However if there are short priced tote favourites in these races they can become poor trifecta betting races because if the tote favourite finishes in the first three the dividend will usually be wrecked.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Lonhro - huge win. Was it a value bet?
You're told to follow these formlines. Don't.
Trifecta betting tips.
Handicapping tips - weight and class
How important are barriers?
Money talks - Rosehill plunge horses
Future winners - unlucky horses
Race down the straight - Flemington farce
Punt to Win 2/8/2002
Punt to Win index

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