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10/10/2003 edition

Betting Value Tips

Horses who are unlucky can often catch everyone by surprise and win or place at one of their next few starts at bolter's odds. That is just what you want for quinellas, trifectas and first four.

Please note:
There is no one single factor which guarantees winning selections. This information can be useful when taken into account with other form factors.

Here are some of the unlucky horses from Randwick and Flemington on Saturday, October 4.

Randwick:
Dainty Deb - held up in the straight
Freeze - held up early in the straight
Shamekha - galloped on, held up and shuffled back in the straight, lame
Ike's Dream - badly held up early in the straight
Nips - wide run, shuffled back entering the straight
Thorn Park - checked off heels early in the straight
Amex - badly checked at the 200

Flemington:
Sarrera - searched for a run in the straight
King Hogan - missed the start, checked at the 175
Cannyopera - shuffled back home turn, then badly held up, no luck
Sir Pentire - badly held up in the straight
Hinting - badly held up early in the straight
Honor Babe - badly held up and inconvenienced in the straight
Mummify - no clear run home turn and straight
Grey Song - no clear run home turn and straight
Pentastic - held up in the straight
Lady Sophia - saddle slipped, eased down
Bounty Beat - no luck in the straight
Mr. Lofty - badly held up in the straight, forget it went around
Scenic Peak - no run in the straight

This edition of Punt to Win:
Carnival betting tips
Trainer/jockey strike rates
Spring Carnival horses - good runs, good betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields
Money talks - Randwick betting tips from the track
Money talks - Flemington betting tips from the track
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 3/10/2003
Punt to Win index


Betting packages


Back Tote Longshots?

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
Grumans 15.40 36.80 $2140
Touchy Subject 22.50 35.80 $1430
Rupanyup 12.30 22.80 $1050
Proudly Aggro 29.40 38.90 $950
Silver Canon 30.90 39.90 $900
Sure Bet 15.50 23.90 $840
Starbucks 11.80 20.10 $830


You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


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