Punt to Win
There has been quite a lot of discussion in our forum over the years about
favourites in small fields. So we've been monitoring
favourites in small fields here. We're now looking at Saturday races in the three strongest horse racing cities of Melbourne, famous for the Melbourne Cup, Sydney, where the 2YO Golden Slipper Stakes grabs the racing headlines and
Brisbane where the Doomben 10,000 is a famous feature horse race.
When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.
Here are the results for punters betting favourites in small horse race fields on Caulfield Cup Day, Saturday, 20th. October, 2012.
Eagle Farm: Track Good.
R2 $45,000 Rating 95. Handicap.
R3 $50,000 3YO. Open. Handicap.
This edition of Punt to Win:
You Need Top Odds
It's unlikely you'll get a high enough
strike rate backing short priced tote favourites
and poor value tote horses to make up for
big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.
It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short priced tote favourites.
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