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11/4/2003 edition

Betting Value Tips

Horses who are unlucky can often catch everyone by surprise and win or place at one of their next few starts at bolter's odds. That is just what you want for quinellas, trifectas and first four.

Please note:
There is no one single factor which guarantees winning selections. This information can be useful when taken into account with other form factors.

Here are some of the unlucky horses from Saturday, April 5.

Rosehill:
Northerly - badly held up in the straight
Spur Me On - very wide throughout
Beaver - held up early in the straight
Sunday Joy - badly held up in the straight
Clangalang - badly held up in the straight
Salgado - shuffled back home turn, held up in the straight

Caulfield:
Tenacious Spirit - wide run
Pomme De Here - held up early in the straight
Sensational Swing - jumped awkwardly, checked off heels at 200
Wijan - checked off heels, shuffled back in the straight
Reactive - badly held up in the straight, should have won
Bush Padre - held up early in the straight
Terranora - badly held up in the straight

Eagle Farm:
Katenian - wide run
With My - searched for a run at the 250
Renazzo - rails, held up in the straight, went seven wide
Impregnable - badly held up in the straight
Luxford - barrier nine, battle for the lead, poor ride
Chief Dahar - badly held up at the 100, should have won

Cheltenham:
Debben - shuffled back rounding the home turn
Kelmark - held up in the straight

This edition of Punt to Win:
John Hawkes, Gai Waterhouse betting tips
Sydney Autumn Carnival betting tips
Adelaide bookmakers' tight, tight, betting odds
Should you back Northerly in handicaps?
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Rosehill, Caulfield betting tips from the track
Money talks - Eagle Farm betting tips from the track
Money talks - Cheltenham betting tips from the track
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 4/4/2003
Punt to Win index


Betting packages


Back Tote Longshots?

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
Touchy Subject 22.50 35.80 $1430
Silver Canon 30.90 39.90 $900
Sure Bet 15.50 23.90 $840
Starbucks 11.80 20.10 $830
Glefti 18.20 25.70 $750
Hammerbeam 27.30 24.20 $690
Hand Pass 21.10 27.60 $650


You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


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