12/7/2002 edition

Form Analysis
Betting Tips and Odds

"Gee, that's a price."

Here's some more racecaller form analysis and tips. Again we can learn.

As the horses were entering the barrier for the seventh at Cheltenham, a Class 6 over 1263 metres, we were told:

"Bluestone Villa $5.60. He's better on track, Bluestone Villa. But I reckon he's value on course. He's almost double the each way. Gee, that's a price." Now, was that said enthusiastically!

Bluestone Villa, who started at $8.00, had every chance in the race, but died on his run in the straight and finished fifth of 12. Bluestone Villa also never even got a mention in our ratings.

The 6YO gelding was a major risk starting from barrier nine of 12 with 57.5kg. At his last start he only carried 52.5kg. Sure, he was down in class, but the weight rise more than compensated for that.

Bluestone Villa has not been a good weight carrier. The last time he carried weight, 57kg., in November in a Class 6 at Victoria Park, he had barrier one and finished fifth. From 23 starts he had four wins. The most he carried to victory was 53.5kg. in a maiden.

Racecallers' tips provide entertainment value, and spice up the call of races. But we doubt they should be used for serious betting.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Ex-jockey betting tips
"Gee, that's a price" - racecaller betting tips
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Rosehill and Flemington plunge horses
Money talks - Sunshine Coast plunge horses
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 5/7/2002
Punt to Win index

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