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12/11/2004 edition

Melbourne Cup Day
Betting Value Tips

Horses who are unlucky can often catch everyone by surprise and win or place at one of their next few starts at big odds. You can select these horses for your own betting systems. That is also just what you want for quinellas, trifectas and first fours.

Please note:
This information can be very useful when taken into account with other form factors.

Here are some of the unlucky horses from the Melbourne and Sydney metropolitan horse racing meetings held on Victoria Derby Day, Saturday, October 30, Melbourne Cup Day, Tuesday, November 2 and the final day of the Flemington Carnival, Saturday November 6.

Flemington, November 6:
Dance The Waves
Tomorrow's Party

Warwick Farm, November 6:
Impatient Star
New York Style
On Potential

Melbourne Cup Day

Flemington, November 2:

Sweetness N Light
Leone Chiara
Coats Choice
To Be Fair

Victoria Derby Day

Flemington, October 30:
Danehill Express
Smooth Groove
Count Ricardo
Elegant Fashion
St. Basil
Red Oog
Sky Cuddle

Rosehill, October 30:
Bounty Hunter
Johnny Reb
Racer's Success
He's Latin
No Penalty

This edition of Punt to Win:
Melbourne Cup Carnival betting tips - Heavy track favourites
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields
Betting tips from the track - Victoria Derby, Rosehill and Warwick Farm
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 29/10/2004
Punt to Win index

Betting packages

Back Tote Longshots?


Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $10 bet
Caffe Francais 16.30 26.40 $101
Banned 11.10 18.05 $69
Connoisseur 7.10 12.00 $49
Squad 5.70 10.65 $49

You Need Top Odds

It's unlikely you'll get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and poor value tote horses to make up for big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.

If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.

It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short priced tote favourites.

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