Punt to Win

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16/9/2006 edition

Horse Racing
Betting and System Tips

Here are some worthwhile betting tips and ways to start and monitor your own betting system.

"A few ideas:

# If you believe that you can maintain a strike rate above 80%, then place betting may be the way to go. If you can't see this happening then you should look at win betting.

# If you bet for a win, it all depends on your average dividend as to a required strike rate. My method is aimed at a strike rate above 30% and average dividend of at least $4. That equates to 120%, or profit on turnover of 20%+...

# With stats based systems, in my experience you need to construct one that has a set of rules that are not too rigid individually, but combined are powerful. By that I mean, if you have rigid rules they will knock out too many winners and you'll be left with hardly any good priced bets.

For every criteria such as last start position, I use two or three moderate rules which combined are powerful, but individually aren't too daunting for horses to achieve.

# When trialling, only trial on "paper" for a short period. The reason is, unless you place real money on selections you won't get a proper idea on how accurate the system is. That's because when you have marginal selections, one can cheat a little and include marginal winners, and exclude marginal losers. You'll have some horses which are on the border of being selections and you won't know whether to include them or not.

But if you have to place real money on them, your results will be clear cut. I'd suggest placing small bets at the beginning, say $1/race. So if your system doesn't work too well, it doesn't matter much. If your system shows promise, then start increasing your bets, steadily.

But don't go from betting $1/race to $50/race in a week, unless you can afford it, cause many systems have bad weeks and you don't want to give away a few hundred dollars straight away.
Continued next page

This edition of Punt to Win:
Horse racing betting and system tips
The best horse racing tipping service on the internet
Get those betting odds
The Wide Barrier horse racing betting system
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Betting favourites in small fields - 2/9/2006
Betting favourites in small fields - 9/9/2006
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting tips from the track: 2/9/2006 - Rosehill & Caulfield

Betting tips from the track: 9/9/2006 - Randwick & Flemington
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 2/9/2006
Punt to Win index

2005 Melbourne Cup Carnival Winners
Best Tote Odds?


Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $10 bet
Coronga 10.80 13.70 $29
Funlove 8.40 11.20 $28
All Bar One 15.20 17.50 $23
Segments 7.40 9.50 $21
Testafiable 6.20 8.30 $21
Freeroller 10.10 12.10 $20
Glamour Puss 9.00 10.60 $16


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