16/9/2006 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

The results should prove quite interesting.

Here are the results from Saturday, 9th. September.

Randwick Kensington (Inner Track): Track Heavy

R1 $55,000 3YO and upward. Fillies & Mares. Class 6. Handicap.
Distance: 1300 metres
Number of runners: four
Favourite: Danasierra
Result: first
Starting price: $2.20
Top fluctuation: $2.25
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.30
Jockey: Glen Boss
Trainer: Bart Cummings

R2 $55,000 3YO and upward. Class 6. Handicap.
Distance: 2400 metres
Number of runners: five
Favourite: Mr Mister
Result: third
Starting price: $2.10
Top fluctuation: $2.10
Jockey: Zac Purton
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
Winner: Attainable
Starting price: $2.30
Top fluctuation: $2.60
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.30
Jockey: Glen Boss
Trainer: Graeme Rogerson

R3 $55,000 3YO and upward. Rs1ly. Handicap.
Distance: 1800 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Cross Bar
Result: fourth
Starting price: $2.60
Top fluctuation: $2.60
Jockey: Joshua Parr
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
Winner: Ausbred King
Starting price: $8.50
Top fluctuation: $8.50
SuperTab tote dividend: $7.60
Jockey: Glen Boss
Trainer: Wade Slinkard

R4 $55,000 3YO. Class 3. Handicap.
Distance: 1300 metres
Number of runners: five
Favourite: Amerryking
Result: first
Starting price: $1.65
Top fluctuation: $1.75
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.70
Jockey: Darren Beadman
Trainer: John Hawkes

Cheltenham: Track Dead

R2 $20,000 3YO Fillies. Rs2mw. Handicap.
Distance: 1450 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Zedazest
Result: first
Starting price: $3.20
Top fluctuation: $4.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $3.20
Jockey: Adrian Patterson
Trainer: Pat Barns

This edition of Punt to Win:
Horse racing betting and system tips
The best horse racing tipping service on the internet
Get those betting odds
The Wide Barrier horse racing betting system
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Betting favourites in small fields - 2/9/2006
Betting favourites in small fields - 9/9/2006
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting tips from the track: 2/9/2006 - Rosehill & Caulfield
Betting tips from the track: 9/9/2006 - Randwick & Flemington
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 2/9/2006
Punt to Win index

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