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22/8/2003 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

The results should prove quite interesting.

Here are the results from Saturday, August 16.

Moonee Valley: Track Slow
R4 $80,000 3YO C & Gs. Listed. Set wts. with pen.
Distance: 1000 metres
Number of runners: six
Favourite: Lago Delight
Result: first
Winning/losing margin: 1.3 lengths
Starting price: $2.40
Top fluctation: $2.45
Tote dividends' range: $2.10 - $2.40
Jockey: Stephen Baster
Trainer: Jim Marconi

R6 $150,000 Listed. Weight for Age.
Distance: 1000 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Yell
Result: first
Winning/losing margin: neck
Starting price: $3.20
Top fluctation: $3.30
Tote dividends' range: $2.40 - $2.80
Jockey: Darren Gauci
Trainer: John Hawkes

Eagle Farm: Track Good
R2 $28,000 Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: five
Favourite: On The List
Result: first
Winning/losing margin: 1.3 lengths
Starting price: $2.30
Top fluctation: $2.30
Tote dividends' range: $2.30 - $2.40
Jockey: Lacey Morrison
Trainer: Darryl Caldwell

Morphettville: Track Good
R1 $20,000 Rest. 2 Metro. Wins. Handicap.
Distance: 1050 metres
Number of runners: six
Favourite: Torfila
Result: first
Winning/losing margin: 2.3 lengths
Starting price: $3.20
Top fluctation: $3.20
Tote dividends' range: $3.50 - $3.60
Jockey: Holly McKechnie
Trainer: Sam Turner

This edition of Punt to Win:
Tote betting & popular jockeys - Corey Brown
Tote betting & popular jockeys - Darren Beadman
Tote betting & popular jockeys - Damien Oliver
Betting favourites in small fields
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Rosehill, Moonee Valley betting tips from the track
Money talks - Eagle Farm betting tips from the track
Money talks - Morphettville betting tips from the track
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 15/8/2003
Punt to Win index


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