Punt to Win

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22/8/2003 edition

Betting Value Tips

Horses who are unlucky can often catch everyone by surprise and win or place at one of their next few starts at bolter's odds. That is just what you want for quinellas, trifectas and first four.

Please note:
There is no one single factor which guarantees winning selections. This information can be useful when taken into account with other form factors.

Here are some of the unlucky horses from Saturday, August 16.

Chosen Light - held up in the straight, should have won
Stable Talk - inconvenienced early in the straight
Cryptique - checked out of the race when making ground
Confectioner - slow out then checked
Beamer - inconvenienced at the first turn, checked off heels at the 100
Force Zulu - searched for a run in the straight
Patezza - last, held up in the straight, could have beaten Thorn Park
Niello - held up at the 150
Chinhoyi - wide run, held up in the straight, hard held near the line

Moonee Valley:
Zoilus - jumped awkwardly
Venus A Go Go - held up home turn, checked off heels in the straight
Cross Current - no peace in the lead
Jubilant Spirit - worked hard, poor ride

This edition of Punt to Win:
Tote betting & popular jockeys - Corey Brown
Tote betting & popular jockeys - Darren Beadman
Tote betting & popular jockeys - Damien Oliver
Betting favourites in small fields
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Rosehill, Moonee Valley betting tips from the track
Money talks - Eagle Farm betting tips from the track
Money talks - Morphettville betting tips from the track
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 15/8/2003
Punt to Win index

Betting packages

Back Tote Longshots?


Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
Touchy Subject 22.50 35.80 $1430
Rupanyup 12.30 22.80 $1050
Silver Canon 30.90 39.90 $900
Sure Bet 15.50 23.90 $840
Starbucks 11.80 20.10 $830
Glefti 18.20 25.70 $750

You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.

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