Horse racing and
sports betting.
 
 

Punt to Win

Pro-Punter
Horse racing forums
Swap tips and discuss betting systems and software

Qld, NT and Tasmanian punters, claim up to $502 deposit match!


Qld, NT and Tasmanian punters, claim up to a $250 bonus bet!


Join Betfair now!
Win at racing

 

 

22/11/2008 edition

Betting Favourites
in
Small Fields

There has been quite a lot of discussion in the forum about favourites in small fields. So we thought we'd start monitoring them on a regular basis. We'll concentrate on Saturday races in Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide where the field size has seven or fewer runners.

When a favourite is beaten we will also provide details of the winner. If there are trends they will be identified. For example if a stable has two runners in the small field does the horse at longer odds win more often than it should? Do some jockeys lose more often than they should on the favourites? Do some stables have a poor strike rate on favourites in small fields? And so on.

Here are the results from Sandown Classic Day, Saturday, 15th. November, held at the Sandown Hillside horse racing track.

Rosehill: Track Good

R1 $70,000 2YO. Open. Handicap.
Distance: 1100 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Turf Express
Result: first

Starting price: $1.30
Top fluctuation: $1.40
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.40
Jockey: Blake Shinn
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse

R2 $70,000 3YO. Rs2mw. Handicap.
Distance: 1200 metres
Number of runners: five
Favourite: Swift Alliance
Result: first

Starting price: $1.40
Top fluctuation: $1.55
SuperTab tote dividend: $1.50
Jockey: Blake Shinn
Trainer: Gai Waterhouse

R3 $70,000 3YO and upward. Fillies & Mares. Rst89. Handicap.
Distance: 1800 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Raise
Result: second
Starting price: $2.00
Jockey: Hugh Bowman
Trainer: Joseph Pride
Winner: Sequinella
Starting price: $8.00
Top fluctuation: $8.00
SuperTab tote dividend: $7.60
Jockey: Daniel Ganderton
Trainer: David Payne

R4 $70,000 3YO. Rs2mw. Handicap.
Distance: 1500 metres
Number of runners: seven
Favourite: Coniston Bluebird
Result: first

Starting price: $2.80
Top fluctuation: $3.70
SuperTab tote dividend: $2.70
Jockey: Glyn Schofield
Trainer: Bede Murray

Continued next page. Click here.

This edition of Punt to Win:
The worst horse racing bet of the century
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Get those betting odds
Win betting - horse racing favourites
The Surprise Winner horse racing betting system
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Betting favourites in small fields: Sandown Classic Day
Betting favourites in small fields: Cantala Stakes Day
Betting favourites in small fields: Victoria Derby Day
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Plunge horses - betting tips from the track: Sandown Classic Day
Plunge horses - betting tips from the track: Cantala Stakes Day
Plunge horses - betting tips from the track: Melbourne Cup & Derby Day
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 1/11/2008
Punt to Win index


You Need Top Odds

It's unlikely you'll get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and poor value tote horses to make up for big unders on the tote. Especially in Sydney and Melbourne metropolitan racing on Saturdays.

If you regularly get poor odds you increase your chances of losing money.

It's very unlikely you'll make a long term profit by consistently backing short priced tote favourites.


Best online bookmakers
Best online poker rooms

Copyright 1998-present. OZmium Pty. Ltd. All rights reserved.

 

Home | Contact us | Special offers | Horse racing forum | Advertise here

 
  Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.