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23/2/2013 edition

Horse Racing Form Analysis and Betting Tips

Eleven form analysis and betting traps to avoid.

We remember talking to a punter years ago who said our selections were not returning a profit. Politely asked if he backed a top rated horse that won the previous week, he replied, "No. I missed that one. I didn't think it could win." It won at $33.00. We replied that our selections were returning a profit.

The simple fact is that like most punters he got put off by the odds. If that horse had been $3.00 instead of $33.00 then he would have backed it!

The problem was that he was not backing some of the winners at good odds and in addition also staking erratically, putting more money on some of the shorter priced horses plus increasing wagers after losing bets.

Many punters ruin their ability to bet winners at good odds and instead find a horse to back at poor value odds by accepting any number of the following cliched "betting rules."

Start querying them and you'll be surprised how you'll have a completely different perspective when you do your form for a race and you'll also have a serious chance of backing plenty of winning horses that most punters dismiss outright.

1. It's carrying too much weight to win.

2. It can't possibly win from that barrier.

3. It can't beat the favourite.

4. But it hasn't won at this distance.

5. I know it won last start but it's up in class here.

6. It finished too far from the winner at its last start.

7. "Who" did you say was riding it?

8. I've never heard of that trainer.

9. Look at the money for it. This horse can't lose.

10. If it was a real winning chance, it wouldn't be at those odds. Something must be wrong.

11. Look at it ease in the betting. It can't possibly win.

Our legendary tipster, Lucky Lil continues to give you FREE horse racing tips that WIN BIG!

For example:

Like last Saturday, 16th. February. From just 3 tips Lucky Lil tipped $9.00 winner Commandare at Doomben.

The week before, Saturday, 9th. February, from just 3 tips Lucky Lil tipped
$10.00 winner Octavia at Caulfield, while Vis A Tergo, $34.30 ran second at Eagle Farm and paid $6.60 for the place.

Fresh and first up from our end of year/New Year break, on Saturday 19th. January, from just 3 tips Lucky Lil tipped $15.00 winner Tukiyo at Eagle Farm PLUS $6.00 winner Lord Of Brazil at Flemington.

Who can forget Lucky Lil's winning tips on some of the biggest Melbourne Spring Carnival racing days of 2012?


On Caulfield Cup Day Lucky Lil tipped $15.00 Caulfield Cup Winner Dunaden and Snitsky $6.50 at Randwick!

On Cox Plate Day from 3 tips
Lucky Lil tipped $10.00 Winner Mosse Diva at Rosehill.

Lucky Lil's FREE Tips PLUS FREE Top Four Ratings are available for you:

Just Register for the Forum:
Then you can access the
Free Saturday Top Four ratings plus Lucky Lil's tips

in the Free Top Four Horse Racing Ratings & Betting Tips Forum.
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This edition of Punt to Win:
Eleven horse racing form analysis and betting traps to avoid
The Free Beaten Favourite horse racing betting system
The Professional Punter's horse racing news
Horse racing form analysis and betting system tips
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Group 1 horse racing results: 16/2/2013, 9/2/2013 & 2/2/2013
Free horse racing betting tips package membership!
Get those betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields: 16/2/2013

Betting favourites in small fields: 9/2/2013
Betting favourites in small fields: 2/2/2013
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting top weights - horses carrying a weight handicap of 60kg.
Punt to Win 2/2/2013
Punt to Win Index - 2000 to Present

2012 Melbourne Cup Day
Bookmaker Win Dividends


Get these dividends? Or these bookmaker dividends! Extra Profit $30 bet
Koonoomoo 22.70 31.00 $249
Kasane 26.00 28.70 $81
Green Moon 20.00 22.50 $75
Mahisara 10.20 12.40 $66
Walk With Attitude 6.50 8.50 $60
Verdant 6.60 7.50 $27
Eclair Surprise 9.50 10.30 $24
Villa Verde 3.00 3.80 $24
Genteel 3.70 4.00 $9
Unpretentious 3.90 4.20 $9


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  Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.