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23/8/2002 edition

Plunge Horses
Money Talks?

Each week we will feature tables showing just how successful the "smart money" was. To qualify a horse must have firmed 5% in the betting market. For example if a horse was backed in from $5.00 (4/1 or 20%) to $4.00 ( 3/1 or 25%) it will qualify. Odds calculator gives you tables.

The jockeys and trainers are also important. You may see some jockeys and trainers consistently bringing home plunges whereas others regularly fail to deliver.

Rosehill, Saturday,17th. August 2002

Horse, jockey
and trainer

Firmed from % Firm Finish Beaten/winning margin
 
Clangalang
3.20
2.60
7.21
1/9
neck
Mark Flaherty
Gerald Ryan
 
Cariboo 1.80 1.50 11.11 1/7 1.3 lengths
Corey Brown
Tim Martin
 
Century Kid 5.50 4.20 5.63 1/9 3 lengths
Justin Sheehan Graeme Rogerson
 
Halls Of Assembly 7.00 5.00 5.71 9/14 5.2 lengths
Darren Beadman
Rod Craig
 
Gordo 5.00 4.00 5.00 1/14 short neck
Corey Brown John Hawkes
 

A very unpleasant day for the bookies with the big plunges coming off. It's the occasional days like that which lead the media "experts" to tell you to follow the money.

Also, unlike the totes, punters get the odds they bet with the bookies, not the final odds. Unlike the totes the bookmakers don't finalise the odds they pay after all bets are made, guaranteeing themselves a significant profit every race. That is what the totes do. But bookmakers often lose on a race when a successful plunge comes off.

That is why a horse can only be plunged with bookmakers and never on the tote. When a horse is plunged with the bookies, tote punters usually end up taking the shortest odds and often well below the shortest plunged bookmaker betting ring odds.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Bel Esprit is back - soft win
Spring Carnival horses
Shogun Lodge betting tip
Melbourne Cup all in betting
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Rosehill plunge horses
Money talks - Moonee Valley, Eagle Farm plunge horses
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 16/8/2002
Punt to Win index


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Warning
Short Priced Tote Favourites

These are losing bets.

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor tote odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.


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  Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.