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23/8/2002 edition

Handicapping Tips
Weight and Class

We're all used to hearing "The horse has the class," to justify why a horse handicapped with a high weight should win. Similarly we're told "It's a 54 minimum. So the horse is only six kilos above the minimum."

Those sort of comments do not show an understanding of how handicaps affect most horses. The more weight, the less class a horse will have. Give a horse enough weight and it will have no class.

By the time horses have to carry 59kg. (60 with the safety vest), many become very dubious betting propositions at short odds. Similarly with jumpers - 69kg. (70 with the safety vest) is a very tough proposition.

The table below shows how horses that carried 59kg. or more fared last Saturday. (The safety vest is not included in the weight.) We're updating each week. It's certainly worth looking at this information over the long term.

Rosehill 17/8/2002
Horse
Weight
Barrier Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Cariboo
60.5kg.
6
1300
$1.50
1/7
A Deena
59kg.
2
1300
$13.00
3/7
Danyon
61kg.
1
1900
$13.00
10/14
Master Pom
60kg.
8
1900
$7.50
10/14
Gordo
59.5kg.
10
1300
$4.00
1/14
The Man
59kg.
12
1300
$12.00
8/14
Moonee Valley 17/8/2002
Horse
Weight
Barrier Distance
SP Odds
Finish
River Boy
69kg.
10
3200
$3.50
8/11
Marstic
59kg.
5
1200
$9.00
4/10
Bush Padre
59.5kg.
1
1514
$9.00
2/14
Victoria Park 17/8/2002
Horse
Weight
Barrier Distance
SP Odds
Finish
Border Time
60.5kg.
2
1400
$10.00
7/10
Another two horses at Rosehill, four at Moonee Valley and one at Victoria Park had apprentice claims which reduced their weight to below 59kg. No horses at Eagle Farm were handicapped with 59kg. or more.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Bel Esprit is back - soft win
Spring Carnival horses
Shogun Lodge betting tip
Melbourne Cup all in betting
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Money talks - Rosehill plunge horses
Money talks - Moonee Valley, Eagle Farm plunge horses
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 16/8/2002
Punt to Win index


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  Disclaimer: This site covers various aspects of horseracing in Australia. We provide betting tips, online gambling strategy and links to many thoroughbred sites. OZmium Pty Ltd is not responsible for the content of the links and also accepts no liability for financial loss or misadventure caused by the information provided here. We strongly recommend you bet within your budget and only with money you are prepared to risk.