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24/6/2006 edition

How to Make Money Betting Horses at Double Figure Dollar Odds

The form is often there to back them!

There is nothing better than backing horses at good double figure odds. It's also not about guesswork or just fluking a winner. The clues are often there.

How do you find the clues?

1. It's a case of doing enough detective work.

2. Then weighing up the winning chances of the horse compared to the horses it is up against.

3. Then checking to see that you are getting a realistic price.

4. Hoping on race day the horse is not tipped by everyone in the media as their longshot of the day. (If plenty of other punters latch on to the same form factors as you then watch those odds quickly disappear.)

Let's have a look at Prince Benbara who stormed home first up to win an Open Handicap at Sandown last Saturday, first up over 1300 metres. He paid tote odds of $16.20 for the win.

1. The five year old gelding had a win and two placings first up. He also won a Listed race at Caulfield over 1700 metres after a freshen up of seven weeks. So he races well fresh.

2. The Sandown track was rated Good. Prince Benbara only had one win and two placings from 23 starts on a Good track. He had five wins from 10 starts on a rain affected Slow track. Most punters would have looked at that and given Prince Benbara no chance.

But a closer look at Prince Benbara's recent form would show that he can be very competitive on Good rated tracks.

a) Five months earlier he finished fourth, only beaten two lengths in the Group 3 Sandown Stakes over 1400 metres on a Good track.

b)
He followed that Sandown run by another close fourth at Sandown on another Good rated track, only going down by 1.5 lengths.

c) Just before these two runs Prince Benbara finished a close third in a photo finish in the Listed Seymour Cup over 1600 metres on a Good rated track.

3. So Prince Benbara's form on Good rated tracks and at Sandown, six starts for only one placing is also not as bad as it first appears. In fact it is certainly good enough for just an Open Handicap.

4. The barrier, 13 in the 13 horse field, looked to be a disadvantage. But there was a good straight run to the first turn. In any case, Prince Benbara gets well back in his races, which is ideal for Sandown and nullifies any disadvantage from a wide barrier.

5. Prince Benbara had top weight of 58kg. The three kilos claim for a good apprentice also would help.

Prince Benbara would have to rate a serious winning chance.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Make money betting horses at double figure dollar odds
The best horse racing tipping service on the internet
Get those betting odds
The Track and Distance Specialists horse racing betting system
Horse Watch betting system - future winners
Betting favourites in small fields
Best odds for well bet winners - bookmaker or tote?
Betting tips from the track: 17/6/2006 - Rosehill & Sandown Hillside
Betting tips from the track: 10/6/2006 - Randwick & Flemington
Racing results for horses carrying a weight handicap of 59kg.
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 10/6/2006
Punt to Win index


2005 Melbourne Cup Carnival Winners
Best Tote Odds?

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $10 bet
Coronga 10.80 13.70 $29
Funlove 8.40 11.20 $28
All Bar One 15.20 17.50 $23
Segments 7.40 9.50 $21
Testafiable 6.20 8.30 $21
Freeroller 10.10 12.10 $20
Glamour Puss 9.00 10.60 $16


 

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