Punt to Win
Horse Racing Betting Tips
See what is common about the form of the following well bet horses from the Group 1 Underwood Stakes meeting held on a Heavy track at Caulfield last Saturday.
Tirdlettar, Cocinero and Chetwynd South were the only horses at Caulfield to start below $4.00 that had raced on a Heavy rated track and had not already won on a Heavy rated track.
Punters will regularly take short odds on horses that have not won on Heavy tracks because these horses have finished close. But near enough is not good enough. There is a very handy rule of thumb:
Horses that lose on Heavy tracks keep losing on Heavy tracks.
Also note the stewards' report for Cocinero:
So why have we included We Can't Say That in the above list of four horses?
This edition of Punt to Win:
Best Tote Odds?
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