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24/10/2003 edition

Betting Value Tips

Horses who are unlucky can often catch everyone by surprise and win or place at one of their next few starts at bolter's odds. That is just what you want for quinellas, trifectas and first four.

Please note:
There is no one single factor which guarantees winning selections. This information can be useful when taken into account with other form factors.

Here are some of the unlucky horses from Randwick and Caulfield on Saturday, October 18.

Gallant Son - held up in the straight, should have won
Irish Loup - raced erratically
Wenceslas Square - jumped awkwardly, held up home turn, jockey reprimanded
Bayraaqdar - slow out
Fair Embrace - checked at the start
Marchioness - nearly fell at the start

Winsome Loot - checked off heels, raced greenly in the straight
Sir Dex - held up rounding the home turn and early in the straight
Fellaheen - held up on the home turn and early in the straight, checked at 300
Speedy King - held up on the home turn, checked off heels in the straight
Legible - shuffled back, held up the entire straight
Irish Crusader - badly held up and shuffled back in the straight
So Assertive - badly checked at the 200
White Mist - no run in the straight
C'est Le Reve - badly held up at the 200
Bomber Bill - held up rounding the home turn
Into The Night - checked early in the straight
Makybe Diva - badly held up early in the straight
Grey Song - searched for a run in the straight
Zagalia - inconvenienced and held up at the 150
Strasbourg - badly held up around the 200
Hugs Dancer - wide for 2400 metres
Into The Night - checked early in the straight
Sabino Canyon - no run in the straight
Forum Floozie - wide run, searched for a run in the straight
Latte - checked and held up early in the straight
Sabino Canyon - no run in the straight

This edition of Punt to Win:
Caulfield Cup Day/Melbourne Cup betting tips
Gai Waterhouse and Caulfield Cup Day
Betting tips and gambling strategy
Spring Carnival horses - good runs, good betting odds
Betting favourites in small fields
Money talks - Randwick, Caulfield betting tips from the track
Handicapping tips - weight and class
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 17/10/2003
Punt to Win index

Betting packages

Back Tote Longshots?


Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra Profit $100 bet
Grumans 15.40 36.80 $2140
Touchy Subject 22.50 35.80 $1430
Rupanyup 12.30 22.80 $1050
Proudly Aggro 29.40 38.90 $950
Silver Canon 30.90 39.90 $900
Sure Bet 15.50 23.90 $840
Starbucks 11.80 20.10 $830

You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.

If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.

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