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26/4/2002 edition

Adelaide Bookmakers' Odds

The Adelaide Carnival has now started. Let's have a look at the betting markets offered by the bookies for their $100,000 races at Morphettville last Saturday.

3YO Fillies Group 3 1800 metres:
Starting price - 132%. Terrible.
Top fluctuation - 120%. Not good enough.

3YO Listed 1800 metres:
Starting price - 141%. No comment needed.
Top fluctuation - 128%. Ditto.

In this 14 horse race just four horses starting price odds
Hillsgrove $3.20 (31.25%)
Solitary Soldier $3.50 (28.57%)
Squillani $5.00 (20%)
Silver Baron $5.50 (18.18%) totalled 98%!!

The race was won by Our Kazz who started at $11.00.

With betting markets and results like that the Carnival has well and truely arrived for the Adelaide bookies.

141% starting price odds. That is like being paid 25/1 instead of 35/1 about one number turning up in roulette. Or instead of even money ($2.00) about odds or evens you get paid $1.70. You wouldn't play roulette like that.

While we're on this subject the Brisbane bookies are rapidly heading the same way - offering very poor betting market percentages. We'll be reporting on them shortly if they continue to offer the very tight betting odds they put up last Saturday as their Carnival got into swing.

This edition of Punt to Win:
Massive stable betting plunge
Save money - avoid these bets
Adelaide Carnival - bookmakers' odds
Betting myths - "tips" to avoid
Money talks - Rosehill plunge horses
Money talks - Flemington plunge horses
Future winners - unlucky horses
Punt to Win 19/4/2002
Punt to Win index


Betting packages


You Need Top Odds

It is just about impossible to get a high enough strike rate backing short priced tote favourites and the poor value tote horses to make up for the big unders on the tote.
If you regularly get poor odds you must lose.

Did you back any of these winners recently?
If you did, see the minimum prices you should have received. Make sure you do
!
Remember short priced tote favourites
are losing bets.

Horse

Get these prices? Or these prices!! Extra percentage won Extra Profit $100 bet
My Special Scorpio
5.00 7.00 50% $200
Post
3.80 5.50 61% $170
Princesa
4.10 5.50 45% $140


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